Strategic Vison-IA: 50% of Republican Caucus Goers support withdrawal from Iraq
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  Strategic Vison-IA: 50% of Republican Caucus Goers support withdrawal from Iraq
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Author Topic: Strategic Vison-IA: 50% of Republican Caucus Goers support withdrawal from Iraq  (Read 770 times)
TheresNoMoney
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« on: December 05, 2007, 07:48:44 PM »
« edited: December 05, 2007, 07:53:01 PM by TheresNoMoney »

New Strategic Vision poll out today. 600 Likely Republican Caucus Goers:

Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican cacus goers and 600 likely Democratic cacus goers, aged 18+, and conducted November 30 - December 2, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4.5 percentage points.


4. Do you favor a withdrawal of all United States military from Iraq within the next six months? (Republicans Only)
Yes 50%
No 38%
Undecided 12%


Thoughts?
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2007, 07:49:39 PM »

That this war isn't well liked.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2007, 07:54:13 PM »


True, but it's funny how we keep hearing from the media and corporate establishment how the Democrats' support for withdrawing from Iraq is going to hurt them politically. And it's also interesting that Ron Paul is the only Republican who agrees with these 50% of Iowa Republicans.

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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2007, 08:06:01 PM »


True, but it's funny how we keep hearing from the media and corporate establishment how the Democrats' support for withdrawing from Iraq is going to hurt them politically. And it's also interesting that Ron Paul is the only Republican who agrees with these 50% of Iowa Republicans.



It would have been better if they had a time table on it like, "ASAP", 2months ect.   I believe most people want out of this war, but don't want to pull out right now. (Talking about the republicans.)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2007, 08:12:01 PM »

My thoughts are that the answer to this question is heavily dependent on the way the question's asked.  For example, here's a poll from Pew:

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=375

in which the following question was posed to likely GOP Iowa caucus-goers:

Do you think the US should keep military troops in Iraq until the situation has stabilized, or do you think the US should bring its troops home as soon as possible?

until the situation has stabilized: 81%
bring troops home immediately: 15%

What gives?  Why would there be such a huge difference between "as soon as possible" and "within the next six months"?  It's because you have to be careful about what question you're asking.  The relevant issue isn't over the timeframe for withdrawal, it's what conditions you want to withdraw in.  The people who say they want to stay until "the situation has stabilized" presumably believe there's some goal that could still be achieved in Iraq, and want to stay until that goal is achieved.  If you asked them follow up questions, you'd probably find that they're hoping this can happen within the next year or the next six months (and that's why many of them say they "want to withdraw" within six months), but if the conditions are not met, then they *wouldn't* favor withdrawal.

On the other side, there's probably a significant majority of the country who don't think there's anything left that's achievable in Iraq, and just want to leave right now, regardless of the conditions.  But while this is likely a majority of all voters, it's probably still a small minority of Republicans.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2007, 08:17:17 PM »

It would have been better if they had a time table on it like, "ASAP", 2months ect.

They did. It says "within 6 months".
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Aizen
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« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2007, 08:34:40 PM »

I've seen a similar poll with essentially identical results a few months back. This is why the GOP will not win Iowa in 2008.
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dead0man
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« Reply #7 on: December 06, 2007, 12:18:08 AM »

What does this mean for Ron Paul?
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