Statistical analyses of 2008 General match-ups
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Author Topic: Statistical analyses of 2008 General match-ups  (Read 1311 times)
Alcon
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« on: December 15, 2007, 12:48:09 PM »

A local liberal blog has been doing this.  It's some pretty cool stuff.

Clinton (D) beats McCain 91.1% of the time
Obama (D) beats Romney 100.0% of the time
Giuliani (R) beats Obama 66.6% of the time
Clinton (D) beats Giuliani 95.9% of the time

This all is heavily dependent on state polling results, but it's cool stuff.  Worth keeping bookmarked for later dates.
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agcatter
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« Reply #1 on: December 15, 2007, 12:51:07 PM »

Clinton beats McCain 91% of the time?

Not according to the state by state polling I have seen.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: December 15, 2007, 02:12:35 PM »
« Edited: December 15, 2007, 02:18:28 PM by Alcon »

Clinton beats McCain 91% of the time?

Not according to the state by state polling I have seen.

He shows the results of the state polls he is using on the web site.  What polls are you looking at?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #3 on: December 16, 2007, 12:53:52 AM »

Well, I wonder how Huckabee performs since it looks like the nomination is all his. between romney and huck, the GOP is screwed in 2008.
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: December 16, 2007, 09:03:26 AM »

Well, I wonder how Huckabee performs since it looks like the nomination is all his. between romney and huck, the GOP is screwed in 2008.

I'll grant that this includes little poll information and low name recognition, but you still might want to close your eyes before clicking this.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #5 on: December 16, 2007, 09:27:16 AM »

Well, I wonder how Huckabee performs since it looks like the nomination is all his. between romney and huck, the GOP is screwed in 2008.

I'll grant that this includes little poll information and low name recognition, but you still might want to close your eyes before clicking this.

Jesus Christ, even Alabama for Clinton?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #6 on: December 16, 2007, 10:27:15 PM »

LIke I said, we'll be committing suicide with a Huckabee nomination.

Alabama goes Democrat? Horrible. I hope we wake up as a party before Iowa.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #7 on: December 16, 2007, 10:30:29 PM »

Very cool.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #8 on: December 16, 2007, 11:36:58 PM »

LIke I said, we'll be committing suicide with a Huckabee nomination.

Alabama goes Democrat? Horrible. I hope we wake up as a party before Iowa.

No Republican will end up losing Alabama.

I'm going to digress for a second, but personally, I do not mind a Dem victory in 2008. A Dem victory in 2008 will force Republicans to really get it together. In 2012, Bush will be far enough removed from voter's minds that Republicans will have a chance to get a fresh start for that election.
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