I still have a weird feeling that Obama may only come in 3rd in Iowa. This finding on
www.electoral-vote.com certainly doesn´t help either:
"Iowa polls are notoriously inaccurate because so few people go to the caucuses, usually 10-15% of the electorate. Furthermore, this year the caucuses are just after New Years (Jan. 3) and the Orange Bowl is also that night. Which would you rather do, go out into the freezing cold to sit in a church basement talking politics all night or stay in your warm home watching some great football and having a beer or two? It is entirely possible that this year the legendary gender gap will be even bigger in Iowa due to football-loving men staying home watching the game and their football-hating wives going off to caucus knowing that their husbands aren't going to talk to them anyway."
