2008 Canadian by-elections

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It's not really incumbent friendly, but we'll have to wait until we know who the candidates are before predicting anything.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It ditched a sitting MP two elections in a row. How can you call that incumbent friendly?

Ok sure, Laliberte was able to get re-elected in 2000 after switching parties, but his attempt to run as an independent in 2004 was foiled.

I didn't call it incumbent friendly. Just liable to switch parties wildly when open.

Only federally. Provincially it's solidly Dipper.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Well, the north part. The southern fringe is more right wing.

Don't you go a spoiling my monthly hackish post!

Not the exact same boundaries oc

Nowhere near IIRC. Athabasca and Cumberland are, I think, the only two entirely inside D-M-CR (all of Meadow Lake might be as well; not sure).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

She lost the nomination iirc

...because she voted the wrong way on same sex marriage.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

She wasn't forced out though.

What is deselection if not being forced out?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

These elections were clearly bad news for the Liberals and good news for the Conservatives. Perhaps most telling, and most surprising, was Vancouver Quadra: this is a safe Liberal seat historically, their only victory in 1984 west of Manitoba (although it was Turner's seat, which skewed things a bit).

Ah, but here's the thing; it had actually been Tory in 1980. Turner's personal vote (lol that he had one) was the only thing that made it Liberal in the '80's.

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^^^