Will there be a lull in the action after February 5?
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  Will there be a lull in the action after February 5?
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Author Topic: Will there be a lull in the action after February 5?  (Read 610 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« on: December 23, 2007, 02:20:15 PM »

Since its almost guaranteed that the general election matchup will be set up by Wednesday evening, February 6, will there be a break in the action for a month or two before the nominees get things going?  And, if so, how long do you think the break will last?
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2007, 03:30:07 PM »

Since its almost guaranteed that the general election matchup will be set up by Wednesday evening, February 6, will there be a break in the action for a month or two before the nominees get things going?  And, if so, how long do you think the break will last?

I think that for the GOP, the nominee won't be settled until March at the earliest; it may go no until the convention.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2007, 04:41:21 PM »

unless giuliani rebounds, i also dont believe the GOP will have a nominee by Feburary 6th. The Dems could have theirs by January 4th if Clinton pulls off a victory in Iowa. She'll sweep the rest.
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2007, 11:37:56 PM »

Either way the answer is no.

If either candidate takes a break at anytime before election day, even only for a month after the primaries, then they are surrendering the ability to define the campaign, themselves and their opponents to the person on the other side.  Taking any time off would be a big mistake.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: December 24, 2007, 12:58:26 AM »

The candidates won't "take time off", but the intensity of the campaign will surely diminish for a while....just as it has in every single presidential election since primaries started determined the nominees well before the conventions.  The candidates aren't going to be spending huge sums of money in Feb., just after they've clinched their nominations, and the news coverage will obviously cool off for a while, as the intensity will wear off without meaningful primaries being held every week.
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Verily
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« Reply #5 on: December 24, 2007, 01:13:52 AM »

The Democratic nominee will be known on February 6. At that time, whoever that is will begin a long series of positive advertisements and campaign stops talking about what changes he/she envisions for America, possibly appearing with at least some of his/her former primary rivals to show unity.

The Republican nominee may also be known by February 6, but that is less certain. If the nominee is not known, the Republican primary campaign will continue, and it will be bitter and hard-fought, and the winning candidate may be so damaged as to be unable to win the general election. If the nominee is known, he will embark on a similar tour to the Democratic candidate, and the campaigns will remain mostly positive and non-combative until the DNC and RNC.

If Mike Bloomberg should choose to run, I think he will announce shortly after February 5 even if the Republican candidate is unknown (although this may depend on which Republicans are still in serious contention at that point). Much like the Democratic candidate, he will begin a positive tour of the country but will also be saturating the airwaves with advertisements to make himself known.

If Ron Paul chooses to run as an independent, he will probably announce his decision shortly after February 5, although depending on how many delegates he wins he may choose to wait until the RNC. Ron Paul would probably open out the gate negative, attacking all of the other candidates for their various "flaws".
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #6 on: December 24, 2007, 01:25:17 AM »

I'm expecting a lull, yes.  Even if the nominee isn't known for certain, we're all going to have a pretty damn good idea.  (Like after Bush won South Carolina.)
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