Senate Pickups?

[JSojourner]

We've probably been down this road a few times before, but since I have been away -- what's the Atlas CW on this?

[Person Man]

Worst comes to worst- they will lose LA and gain VA and NM. (52 dems)

What will probably happen- The GOP will be shut out and the dems will win CO,NM,NH,VA (55 dems)

What COULD happen- The GOP gets shut out and the dems gain CO,NM,NH,VA,OR,MN,ME and AK. (59 dems)

If the dems net a loss in the house, or lose the senate and THE WH, I would say that they got wiped out, no matter how well they did at the roots.

[Lief 🗽]

I think that we'll hold LA, we'll get NM, CO, NH and VA and then take 3 of Alaska, Oregon, Minnesota, Kentucky, North Carolina, Maine, Texas and Oklahoma.

[Verily]

3: Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Colorado, losing Louisiana

[Reaganfan]

The Democrat party will do well all over the country whether people like it or not. They will probably win most Senate races except in really southern states.

I like my Democrat Senator (Cheryl Brown, I think?) but I also liked the Republican he beat (the Republican came to my town for an event and I met him with Michael Naso).

[Frodo]

3: Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Colorado, losing Louisiana

^^^^^^^^

[TheresNoMoney]

1) Dems get pickups in Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, New Hampshire,  Oregon and Minnesota

2) Republicans pickup Louisiana

Net +5 for Democrats

[Aizen]

We lose LA
We get NM, VA, CO, NH and I think we'll get 1 of the four - ME, OR, MN, AK

[7,052,770]

Don't forget the possibility of picking up the special election seat in MS!  There's just as good a shot of picking up this one as picking up Alaska...

[CultureKing]

Don't forget the possibility of picking up the special election seat in MS!  There's just as good a shot of picking up this one as picking up Alaska...

Except we have Begich in Alaska and __________? in Mississippi. Also in Alaska we get the advantage of scandals!

[7,052,770]

Don't forget the possibility of picking up the special election seat in MS!  There's just as good a shot of picking up this one as picking up Alaska...

Except we have Begich in Alaska and __________? in Mississippi. Also in Alaska we get the advantage of scandals!

We do have a scandal brewing in Mississippi with Dickie Scrugg's arrest, we're just not sure which (if any) politicians involved.
In Mississippi, we probably have former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Dem pickups: NH, VA, CO, NM, and AK.
GOP pickups: None

[Reaganfan]

Mississippi is so far south that Democrats don't stand much of a chance anymore.

[Person Man]

Mississippi is so far south that Democrats don't stand much of a chance anymore.

Yeah, although maybe a really conservative democrat might have a chance, it's best to look at places like Virginia, where the GOP base can be eroded.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Mississippi is so far south that Democrats don't stand much of a chance anymore.

Nuh uh!  Safe Dem.

[Reaganfan]

Democrats don't stand a chance there. You guys said they wanted to run Michael Moore, right? People hate him and the movies so why wouldn't they hate him and his type in the south? They'd get maybe 15% of the vote.

[7,052,770]

Democrats don't stand a chance there. You guys said they wanted to run Michael Moore, right? People hate him and the movies so why wouldn't they hate him and his type in the south? They'd get maybe 15% of the vote.

lol, MIKE Moore - the former state attorney general...NOT the same guy

[Kevin]

Democratic pickups, NH, CO, NM, and VA. Also possibly OR and with AK if the Democrats couldn't win there in 2004 what makes anyone think they can in 2008 even with all the scandals that are plaguing Stevens?

Republican pickups, Possibly LA?   

[Mr.Phips]

Democratic pickups, NH, CO, NM, and VA. Also possibly OR and with AK if the Democrats couldn't win there in 2004 what makes anyone think they can in 2008 even with all the scandals that are plaguing Stevens?

Republican pickups, Possibly LA?   

2004 was a very good year for Republicans and Murkowski was saved only by Bush's 61%-38% margin. 

[HardRCafé]

Except we have Begich in Alaska and __________? in Mississippi. Also in Alaska we get the advantage of scandals!

You would be better off with __________? in Alaska, too.

[Verily]

Hmm... I was forgetting about Alaska. Might be too early to say anything there, though, what with primaries and no major Democratic candidate (read: Begich) actually declared yet.

[Padfoot]

I like my Democrat Senator (Cheryl Brown, I think?)

lol.  His name is Sherrod.  I'm hoping you at least knew our newly elected Senator is a guy.

As for net gains I'm think 3-4 so I voted 1-3 to be on the safe side.

[Reaganfan]

I don't care what the gender Senator Brown is and it shouldn't matter to anyone anyway.

[MarkWarner08]

Hmm... I was forgetting about Alaska. Might be too early to say anything there, though, what with primaries and no major Democratic candidate (read: Begich) actually declared yet.

Begich is waiting till the filing deadline to announce his run. My source in Alaska (a friend at the AK Democratic Party) says the Mayor is concerned Stevens will drop out at the last minute, only to be replaced by the popular reformer Governor Sarah Pallin.

[HardRCafé]

It makes no sense Palin would leave Juneau for Washington.