How do the Democrats' supporters rank in motivation in Iowa?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

With an essential 3-way tie, this is probably what it'll come down to, who shows up to the caucuses.

I vote Obama-Edwards-Clinton. Obama's got the liberal activists who are sure to come out and young people who have less distractions. Edwards has also got a strong core of liberal activists and probably a higher proportion of people with less crowded lives than Clinton. She's got a bunch of soccer moms who are too bogged down and aren't all that crazy about politics anyway.

[Meeker]

Polling indicates Edwards' are the most hardcore Democrats likely to participate in the caucus, but I think the average Obama supporter may be more enthusiastic about their candidate. At the same time though, I think there are a lot of people not too engaged in politics who say they like Obama, but whether they're actually going to take the hour or two out of their evening to caucus I'm not sure. Clinton may get a slight boost from women who want to see a chick finally elected.

I say Edwards - Obama - Clinton.


The weather will be an important factor. Right now the forecast calls for clear skies which is good news for Obama.

[gorkay]

Edwards-Clinton-Obama.