Des Moines Register: It's Obama and Huckabee

[Flying Dog]

Some interesting findings:

Clinton only gets 16% of the male vote. Obama and Edwards split the rest 31-30

Obama and clinton split the female vote 32-32 each.

Obama leads overwhelmingly among 18-34, getting 56%.

Polling trends

                       27-28       28-29      29-30   

Obama             29%          33%        34%

Clinton              27%          24%         23%

Edwards           23%           24%          26%

[Flying Dog]

also, clinton and edwards split the 55 and above, 30-30% each. That could let obama slip through and win.

[Flying Dog]

But I still think Iowa is Edwards' to lose simply because pretty much every poll that has been done on second choices show him with a clear lead over Obama and Hillary. So I'm going to stand by my prediction of an Edwards victory, Obama taking second place, and Hillary falling in third.

2nd Choices could actually benefit Obama if supporters of Kucinich, Richardson and Biden follower  the advice of their candidates and caucas 2nd choice for Obama. (This is, of course, only if the rumors prove to be true)