official Iowa Democratic results thread

[Flying Dog]

I suspect Edwards to continue to drop and a major fight between Obama and Clinton.

[Hash]

EDWARDS!!!!!!!

[Meeker]

Must... hold... on...

[exopolitician]

New channels have totally different numbers than we are watching...

[Flying Dog]

New channels have totally different numbers than we are watching...

what r they?

[Eraserhead]

I think Edwards is toast... should be between Obama and Clinton...

[Хahar 🤔]

New channels have totally different numbers than we are watching...

I think we're watching the official site.

Senator John Edwards : 34.05%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.09%
Senator Barack Obama : 30.86%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.81%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.98%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.12%
Uncommitted : 0.09%
Precincts Reporting: 237 of 1781

[exopolitician]

Obama is first with Clinton and Edwards fighting for 2nd....?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I don't see any reason to think that the more populated areas will be so overwhelming for Obama and Clinton.  What exactly is a populated area in IOWA? 

It's not New York, that's for sure. 

[Colin]

Politico says that only 2% of precincts have reported from Polk County so still alot of rural votes.

[Flying Dog]

Senator John Edwards : 33.90%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.00%
Senator Barack Obama : 31.28%

nailbitting

[Hash]

Senator John Edwards : 34.13%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 31.89%
Senator Barack Obama : 31.01%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.94%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.87%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.10%
Uncommitted : 0.07%
Precincts Reporting: 279 of 1781

[Eraserhead]

Now I'm hearing about another enterance poll that has Obama in a landslide.

[exopolitician]

Too close...I hate it....but I cant stop watching.

[Colin]

I don't see any reason to think that the more populated areas will be so overwhelming for Obama and Clinton.  What exactly is a populated area in IOWA? 

It's not New York, that's for sure. 

Des Moines has a population of around 500,000 or so. Cedar Rapids has about 200,000 as well, IIRC. A couple of other cities have between 50,000 and 100,000 people. So there are some more populated areas.

[Lief 🗽]

I'd think that the entrance polls would overestimate Obama and under-estimate Edwards, but that's just random conjecture.

[Platypus]

Senator John Edwards : 34.00%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 31.91%
Senator Barack Obama : 31.26%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.88%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.79%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.09%
Uncommitted : 0.07%
Precincts Reporting: 296 of 1781

[Flying Dog]

I THINK IM GONNA HAVE A HEART ATTACK

[Хahar 🤔]

Edwards hanging on...

[Meeker]

For some reason I feel very relaxed... maybe once Edwards dips below I'll start freaking out.

[Gustaf]

Right now. I predict Obama as the winner.

[Хahar 🤔]

Senator John Edwards : 33.70%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.06%
Senator Barack Obama : 31.36%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.90%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.84%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.08%
Uncommitted : 0.06%
Precincts Reporting: 313 of 1781

[Gabu]

Wow, I didn't realize how close this really is until I checked CNN's page.  Here's the current state delegate count:

Edwards: 70
Clinton: 66
Obama: 64

This thing is even more ridiculously close than the percentages tell you and could still swing wildly before the night is over.  Quite literally two votes separate Clinton and Obama.

[Cubby]

The Sioux County results should be interesting. They voted 85% for Bush in November '04. BRTD says its full of 19th Century Dutch Calvinists (not sure if thats like Amish).

[Eleden]

I'd think that the entrance polls would overestimate Obama and under-estimate Edwards, but that's just random conjecture.

It makes sense.  Edwards is expected to get a huge chunk of the second place votes, and those aren't calculated in the entrance polls.