official Iowa Republican results thread

[StateBoiler]

The Republican precinct caucus on C-SPAN 2 has just started.

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Wow.   4% in and McCain has skyrocketed to 37%.

If anyone has another more reliable site than Politico.com, feel free to post it.

http://www.iowagop.net

[StateBoiler]

I don't see how those totals could possibly be right. The Republicans are on the "one man=one vote" caucus, and only 4 candidates have votes after 10% of the precincts?

This is what MSNBC reported 10 minutes ago with 2% in:

Huckabee 33%
Romney 24%
Thompson 18%
McCain 12%
Paul 11%
Giuliani 2%

[StateBoiler]

Fox is talking like Huckabee is going to win.

Is Hannity going to blow a gasket?

[StateBoiler]

we can say goodbye to his candidacy. now rudy needs to get his voters! Michigan and Nevada are states he needs to make an effort in!

You wish.

[StateBoiler]

In entrance polling, 60% of Republican caucusgoers described themselves as evangelical.

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Paul is now in sixth place according to CNN. Looks like he really was just an internet fad, sadly.

You have 4 candidates right there for third. 13-12-11-10.

[StateBoiler]

Something weird going on. CNN's results just went from 40% to 65% and while everyone's results went up appreciably, Giuliani just lost 1300 votes and is down to 4% from 11%.

Huckabee 34%
Romney 25%
Thompson 14%
McCain 13%
Paul 10%
Giuliani 4%

[StateBoiler]

Something weird going on. CNN's results just went from 40% to 65% and while everyone's results went up appreciably, Giuliani just lost 1300 votes and is down to 4% from 11%.

Huckabee 34%
Romney 25%
Thompson 14%
McCain 13%
Paul 10%
Giuliani 4%

Lots of precincts closing?

No, Giuliani receiving a negative 1300 votes.

They've had trouble from the beginning. With 10% reporting they had ROmney at 0%, remember?

That was Politico. That wasn't CNN.

[StateBoiler]

So did anyone find a good website for the results since the Republican party isn't capable of running a website?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IA

72% in

Huckabee 28,762 34% 0
Romney 21,213 25% 0
Thompson 11,522 14% 0
McCain 11,281 13% 0
Paul 8,549 10% 0
Giuliani 3,053 4% 0

[StateBoiler]

That link failed to completely load under 3 different browswers on 2 different computers.

I'll post further updates later for you.

I will say that it's up to 76% and that the more precincts reporting they get, the closer McCain gets to Thompson. He's now only 180 votes behind passing Thompson for 3rd.

[StateBoiler]

McCain has passed Thompson for 3rd at 78% in.

[StateBoiler]

Based on the numbers, it looks like the Democratic turnout for the caucuses is going to double the Republicans. Maybe the typical Iowa Republican just cares less about politics than the typical Iowa Democrat, but this is a 50/50 state in general elections, that is a huge difference. What is everyone's opinion on this?

[StateBoiler]

Huckabee talking now.

Flanked by Chuck Norris.

[StateBoiler]

Based on the numbers, it looks like the Democratic turnout for the caucuses is going to double the Republicans. Maybe the typical Iowa Republican just cares less about politics than the typical Iowa Democrat, but this is a 50/50 state in general elections, that is a huge difference. What is everyone's opinion on this?

We're screwed. Unless we nominate McCain, but the base would not come out for him.

That assumption is not backed up by any polls that I know of.

They hate him because of McCain/Feingold and they don't trust him on immigration. Don’t get me wrong, I think he could beat Clinton but I’m not too sure about Obama. I’m starting to think the man is destined to be president. He's a compromise choice whereas Obama is someone the Democrats seem really excited about, and their's not as much of an energy to keep him out of the white house as their is with Clinton.

But hey, I predicted a third place finish for Paul, so I don't really have a good track record here.

You predicted 3rd? Dude. I tried to keep my hopes in check and predicted 4th barely ahead of Thompson.

My prediction was Huckabee gets a close win over Romney, McCain a distant third, Paul just squeaking ahead of Thompson and Giuliani.

So Romney loses by a bigger margin than I expected, Thompson and Paul switched positions and Thompson is close to McCain, and Giuliani was further back than I expected.

[StateBoiler]

Well, I'm eating major crow now, ha ha. I'm going over to McCain now, he's the only other Republican I like. Still hope Paul does well in NH though.

Don't feel bad. I support Paul, but I know full well he's not winning the nomination. My hope is he just forces the party toward his direction like Dean did to the Democrats in late 2003 and that it will make libertarians more openly accepted in the Republican Party, which they most certainly are not now. I said previously to a hater on here, Paul by being where he's at now has far exceeded my expectations from what I thought this past summer, and it's nice to know there are more people in this party that think like I do than I had previously thought.

6 months ago he was around Duncan Hunter and Jim Gilmore level around a tie for ninth place at 0.5%. He got fifth tonight at 10% with support from probably around 11,000 out of 115,000 Republicans.