PA-5: Peterson unexpectedly announces that he will not seek re-election in 2008
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 04, 2024, 02:01:56 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  PA-5: Peterson unexpectedly announces that he will not seek re-election in 2008 		« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA-5: Peterson unexpectedly announces that he will not seek re-election in 2008  (Read 1888 times)
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 05, 2008, 11:57:08 AM »
Congressman John Peterson (R) unexpectedly announced on Thursday that he will not seek re-election this year to a seventh term. "Although still young at heart, a few chronic, non-threatening health issues have to be addressed at home, requiring me to devote more time to my family -- time and presence which would not be possible if I sought reelection," explained Peterson. The CD-5 seat is heavily Republican.

http://www.politics1.com/

PA-5 voted 61%-39% for Bush in 2004, and 59%-38% for him in 2000.  It is rated 'R+10' by the Cook Partisan Voting Index.  It has been ancestrally Republican since the 1850s, however, did PA-5 come close to voting for Casey or Rendell in 2006? 
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2008, 12:32:44 PM »
Part of the predecessor districting went Democrat in 1978, and stayed GOP since then.  The closest race was 1984, when Klinger barely pulled it out (Reagan was not exceptionally popular in PA).

The most Democratic areas are Clearfield and Centre Counties, but they are conservative Democrats. 

The republcans tended to be moderate to conservative; the only way I could see a problem is if Huckabee headed the ticket.
Logged
Jake
dubya2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 05, 2008, 03:10:16 PM »
« Edited: January 05, 2008, 03:44:39 PM by Jake »
This is Likely Republican until we know candidates. A Casey Democrat has a chance here if the Republican is too conservative, but even then I have a feeling Santorum may have carried PA-5 in the Senate race. I'll run some numbers.

EDIT: Santorum-Casey was basically a dead heat in PA-05. I can't see a Democrat winning when the most popular Democrat in the state couldn't break 50% against Santorum in the best Democratic year in 30 years.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 05, 2008, 03:15:01 PM »
A long, long shot for Democrats, frankly.  Of course, who knows.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 05, 2008, 11:02:03 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on January 05, 2008, 03:15:01 PM
A long, long shot for Democrats, frankly.  Of course, who knows.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2008, 11:58:27 PM »
A Republican is almost certain to hold this seat. 
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2008, 12:00:36 AM »
Unless Joe Paterno switches registration and runs, and Huckabee is the nominee, it stays R.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2008, 06:53:00 PM »
Safe Republican. I don't know why people fear Huckabee as the nominee and this race being competitive. As far as I know, this area is full of Huckabee type Republicans.
Logged
MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 07, 2008, 07:30:14 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on January 07, 2008, 06:53:00 PM
Safe Republican. I don't know why people fear Huckabee as the nominee and this race being competitive. As far as I know, this area is full of Huckabee type Republicans.
Duncan Hunter would probably carry this district...
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,758
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM »
Demographically quite an interesting district.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,995


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2008, 09:11:43 AM »
Quote from: Josef Švejk on January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM
Demographically quite an interesting district.

How so? I imagine it to be about as diverse and young as Iowa, minus Des Moines...
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 08, 2008, 03:11:57 PM »
Quote from: brittain33 on January 08, 2008, 09:11:43 AM
Quote from: Josef Švejk on January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM
Demographically quite an interesting district.

How so? I imagine it to be about as diverse and young as Iowa, minus Des Moines...

I'm thinking he's being sarcastic.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 08, 2008, 04:25:14 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on January 08, 2008, 03:11:57 PM
Quote from: brittain33 on January 08, 2008, 09:11:43 AM
Quote from: Josef Švejk on January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM
Demographically quite an interesting district.

How so? I imagine it to be about as diverse and young as Iowa, minus Des Moines...

I'm thinking he's being sarcastic.
Why should he be?



A college town, rural boondogs including at least a couple of ethnic enclaves, a number of old, small industrial towns like Titusville or St Mary's... it's a district for Al to find interesting.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,758
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 08, 2008, 05:38:32 PM »
Quote from: Gernhardt on January 08, 2008, 04:25:14 PM
A college town, rural boondogs including at least a couple of ethnic enclaves, a number of old, small industrial towns like Titusville or St Mary's... it's a district for Al to find interesting.

Exactly Smiley
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 08, 2008, 05:41:24 PM »
Cause Lewis he knows Al
And he knows Al's right
He's been talking to Al
All his life...
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 08, 2008, 06:14:02 PM »
Quote from: Gernhardt on January 08, 2008, 04:25:14 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on January 08, 2008, 03:11:57 PM
Quote from: brittain33 on January 08, 2008, 09:11:43 AM
Quote from: Josef Švejk on January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM
Demographically quite an interesting district.

How so? I imagine it to be about as diverse and young as Iowa, minus Des Moines...

I'm thinking he's being sarcastic.
Why should he be?



A college town, rural boondogs including at least a couple of ethnic enclaves, a number of old, small industrial towns like Titusville or St Mary's... it's a district for Al to find interesting.


Oh, absolutely. I agree that Al would find it interesting. However, I don't think it's demographically all that interesting aside from the college kids (who really don't make much of a difference in electoral politics there).
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,584
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 09, 2008, 01:12:00 AM »
Quote from: brittain33 on January 08, 2008, 09:11:43 AM
Quote from: Josef Švejk on January 07, 2008, 07:36:29 PM
Demographically quite an interesting district.

How so? I imagine it to be about as diverse and young as Iowa, minus Des Moines...

This district is the ass end of no where.  Take it from someone who lived there.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,995


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 09, 2008, 04:34:30 PM »
Quote from: Supersoulty on January 09, 2008, 01:12:00 AM
This district is the ass end of no where.  Take it from someone who lived there.

My in-laws are originally from St. Marys.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 11 queries.