SC-Rasmussen: Obama headed for big win
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Author Topic: SC-Rasmussen: Obama headed for big win  (Read 378 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: January 07, 2008, 04:55:43 PM »

Monday, January 07, 2008

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in South Carolina shows that Barack Obama has opened a double digit-lead over Hillary Clinton in the January 26th Primary Election. It’s Obama 42% Clinton 30%. John Edwards attracts 14% of the vote and nobody else tops 3%.

In December, Obama and Clinton were tied at 33%. In November, Clinton had a ten-point advantage.

In South Carolina, Obama now attracts 58% of the African-American vote, up from 50% in December. Earlier in the year, Obama and Clinton split this important constituency fairly evenly. Now while Obama enjoys a 2-to-1 advantage over Clinton among African-American voters, white voters are split fairly evenly between three candidates--it’s Clinton 32%, Edwards 29%, and Obama 27%. For Obama, that reflects a 13-point improvement from the previous survey.

Obama leads by 17 points among men and eight points among women.

Eighty percent (80%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, 79% say the same about Clinton, and 75% offer a positive assessment of Edwards. Those figures include 54% with a Very Favorable assessment of Obama. Forty-five percent (45%) are that positive about Clinton and 30% say the same about Edwards.

This telephone survey of 553 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 6, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2008, 04:58:30 PM »

OK, Hillary will probably win NY now ... and NJ ... and Arkansas, but that´s it.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #2 on: January 07, 2008, 05:32:59 PM »

OK, Hillary will probably win NY now ... and NJ ... and Arkansas, but that´s it.

Honestly, I doubt she wins New Jersey at this point. She's not our Senator, and, unlike Giuliani, she doesn't get an enormous vote for having an impact on commuters. New Jersey never polled more strongly for Clinton than California did, and I think we're just as likely to switch. There seems to simply be a lot of soft Clinton support here (and maybe not even that now, but the last poll was months ago).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: January 07, 2008, 09:10:44 PM »

I doubt she wins New York at this point.
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