who do you THINK will win the Democratic nomination?
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Poll
Question: who do you THINK will win the Democratic nomination? [last Intrade transaction price in brackets]
#1
Hillary Clinton [56.5]		  
#2
Barack Obama [42.9]		  
#3
John Edwards [1.5]		  
#4
Al Gore [0.9]		  
#5
other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: who do you THINK will win the Democratic nomination?  (Read 3161 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: January 10, 2008, 07:37:18 PM »
May 2006

Mark Warner 42.5%
Hillary Clinton 37.5%
Al Gore 6.3%
John Edwards 3.1%
Other 10.9%

August 2006

Mark Warner 37.2%
Russ Feingold 20.9%
Hillary Clinton 20.9%
Al Gore 11.6%
John Edwards 4.7%
Other 4.7%

November 2006

Hillary Clinton 43.2%
Barack Obama 24.3%
Al Gore 10.8%
Evan Bayh 10.8%
John Edwards 5.4%
Other (excl. Feingold) 5.4%

March 2007

Hillary Clinton 41.7%
Barack Obama 27.8%
John Edwards 5.6%
Al Gore 2.8%
Other 22.2% [most of these people with Richardson in mind]

April 2007

Barack Obama 35.2%
Hillary Clinton 27.8%
John Edwards 18.5%
Bill Richardson 13%
Al Gore 3.7%
Other 1.9%

June 2007

Hillary Clinton 44%
Barack Obama 32%
Al Gore 16%
John Edwards 4%
Other (excl. Richardson) 4%

July 2007

Hillary Clinton 55.6%
Barack Obama 20%
Al Gore 11.1%
Bill Richardson 8.9%
John Edwards 2.2%
Other 2.2%

August 2007

Hillary Clinton 70.5%
Barack Obama 11.4%
Bill Richardson 9.1%
John Edwards 6.8%
Other (excl. Gore) 2.3%

September 2007

Hillary Clinton 71.2%
Barack Obama 13.6%
John Edwards 8.5%
Bill Richardson 5.1%
Al Gore 1.7%

October 2007

Hillary Clinton 80.8%
Al Gore 7.7%
Barack Obama 3.8%
John Edwards 3.8%
Bill Richardson 1.9%
Other 1.9%

November 2007

Hillary Clinton 62.2%
Barack Obama 26.7%
John Edwards 11.1%

December 21-23, 2007

Hillary Clinton 46.7%
Barack Obama 37.8%
John Edwards 15.6%

December 31, 2007 - January 2, 2008

Hillary Clinton 46.2%
Barack Obama 33.3%
John Edwards 20.5%

January 5-8, 2008

Barack Obama 78.4%
Hillary Clinton 19.6%
Al Gore 2%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2008, 07:38:28 PM »
Barack Obama.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2008, 07:39:02 PM »
Never lose faith in the Hilldawg, kids.

Besides, if Obama somehow gets in the driver's seat to get the nomination somehow, he'll be eliminated in some another way.  Tongue
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #3 on: January 10, 2008, 07:40:59 PM »
Mike Gravel.

Seriously, I predicted Obama would win back in September. Except for some recent vacillating, I've stuck with that view for months. Obama is still my answer.
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John Dibble
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« Reply #4 on: January 10, 2008, 07:49:31 PM »
My optimism says Obama. My pessimism says Clinton. My realism says it's too soon to tell since anything can happen.
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Moooooo
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« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2008, 08:33:55 PM »
Heart says Obama, head says Clinton.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #6 on: January 10, 2008, 08:36:55 PM »
Clinton, Clinton, still Clinton.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: January 10, 2008, 08:42:58 PM »
Who is the jokster who keeps voting for Gore?
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Gabu
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« Reply #8 on: January 10, 2008, 08:46:05 PM »
Quote from: SE Magistrate John Dibble on January 10, 2008, 07:49:31 PM
My optimism says Obama. My pessimism says Clinton. My realism says it's too soon to tell since anything can happen Clinton.

Tongue
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: January 10, 2008, 08:48:04 PM »
Quote from: Gabu on January 10, 2008, 08:46:05 PM
Quote from: SE Magistrate John Dibble on January 10, 2008, 07:49:31 PM
My optimism says Obama. My pessimism says Clinton. My realism says it's too soon to tell since anything can happen Clinton.

Tongue

Don't be such a downer Gabu!
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #10 on: January 10, 2008, 08:50:40 PM »
Obama - I give up on Edwards
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Bacon King
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« Reply #11 on: January 10, 2008, 08:51:59 PM »
Quote from: SE Magistrate John Dibble on January 10, 2008, 07:49:31 PM
My optimism says Obama. My pessimism says Clinton. My realism says it's too soon to tell since anything can happen.

^^^^
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: January 10, 2008, 09:02:19 PM »

lol Finally.
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reformer
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« Reply #13 on: January 10, 2008, 09:08:26 PM »
could some one create a graph of these polls over time?
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #14 on: January 10, 2008, 09:31:32 PM »
Quote from: reformer on January 10, 2008, 09:08:26 PM
could some one create a graph of these polls over time?

I'll see what I can do tomorrow
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Harry
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« Reply #15 on: January 10, 2008, 09:42:00 PM »
Clinton
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Boris
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« Reply #16 on: January 10, 2008, 11:28:26 PM »
Clinton
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: January 11, 2008, 04:55:32 AM »
This is a close one folks.
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Gabu
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« Reply #18 on: January 11, 2008, 04:56:17 AM »

AL GORE PULLING A STRONG THIRD HERE FOLKS

I THINK HE COULD BE OUR COMPROMISE CANDIDATE FOR SURE
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #19 on: January 11, 2008, 05:53:19 AM »

I still don't get how he lost Iowa, when he was leading hte 2nd choicers by such a HUGE margin.
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Gabu
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« Reply #20 on: January 11, 2008, 05:54:14 AM »

Like I said before, in politics, second place is just the first loser. Tongue
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #21 on: January 11, 2008, 10:30:36 AM »
It has to be Obama - for the good of the country and the Democratic Party. 
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #22 on: January 11, 2008, 10:37:18 AM »
Clinton.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #23 on: January 11, 2008, 02:23:16 PM »
Although I said Clinton here (with a little amusing conspiracy remark), if I were giving odds, I'd say Clinton 66.6% chance of winning the nomination, Obama about 33.3%.

Just to be clear.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #24 on: January 11, 2008, 02:29:08 PM »
I voted Clinton this time. There´s no indication yet that Obama makes up enough ground to carry CA, NY, NJ, AR, MN and CT. With a NH win that might have been a lot easier for him, but now I think Clinton will win all 6 of them. If he really gets the mojo back after a comfortable SC win that may all change though.
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