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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
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How will the GE effect the local races?
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Topic: How will the GE effect the local races? (Read 1795 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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Posts: 10265
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
How will the GE effect the local races?
«
on:
February 17, 2008, 05:45:50 pm »
Say Obama win the nom will he be able to turn out new voters that could swing states for the Democrats?
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King
intermoderate
YaBB God
Posts: 22206
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
«
Reply #1 on:
February 17, 2008, 08:06:39 pm »
I'm more of a Maytag man myself.
He'll turn out more younger voters who likely only care about the Presidential race and will likely vote Democrat straight down the ballot.
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CultureKing
YaBB God
Posts: 3240
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #2 on:
February 17, 2008, 09:11:06 pm »
Gregoire may be able to thank Obama if she has a strong showing or even gets reelected in Washington.
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Econ: -6.50, Social: -5.23
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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Posts: 10265
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
«
Reply #3 on:
February 17, 2008, 10:51:01 pm »
If Obama wins the nom I think the dems will have a great year this year.
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Mr.Phips
YaBB God
Posts: 4813
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
«
Reply #4 on:
February 17, 2008, 11:02:13 pm »
Quote from: Josh22 on February 17, 2008, 10:51:01 pm
If Obama wins the nom I think the dems will have a great year this year.
Yep, if Democrats want to waste this once in a lifetime opportunity on a polarizing figure like Hillary, they deserve to lose.
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BushKenya
BushOklahoma
YaBB God
Posts: 17223
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #5 on:
February 19, 2008, 04:35:17 am »
Its not going to have much effect either way on Oklahoma considering their are no down-ballot races except Congressional and Senatorial and two Corporation Commission seats. Those CC seats are held by Republicans currently, but they are endangered animals right now. On the State level it is easy to see that Oklahoma is trending Democrat based on what happened in 2006, so I expect these two CC Republicans to be looking for a job pretty soon.
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Quote from: politicus on December 09, 2012, 10:14:44 pm
You are that rare species: a Bible-thumpin' Liberal.
Big DaddyTX
AndrewCT
Moderators
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Posts: 6855
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #6 on:
February 19, 2008, 07:49:52 am »
Eh, not much. Norwalk is pretty well set with it's incumbents, so I don't see any changes.
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Quote from: Obama lean Bushie on August 28, 2012, 12:27:23 pm
Stop trying to get me on small technicalities.
Quote from: I'm gonna sink your battleship!! on October 30, 2012, 07:23:57 pm
My parents are pretty good about smelling a rat.
JohnnyLongtorso
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Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #7 on:
February 19, 2008, 08:05:16 am »
The only local race here is the mayoral election, which I doubt will be affected.
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Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
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Posts: 12179
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
«
Reply #8 on:
February 19, 2008, 02:13:26 pm »
McCain landslide: Democrats win 35 of 40 State Senate seats in Massachusetts.
Obama landslide: Democrats win 35 of 40 State Senate seats in Massachusetts.
McCain landslide: Republicans win 21 of 160 State House seats in Massachusetts.
Obama landslide: Republicans win 18 of 160 State House seats in Massachusetts.
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Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
socaldem
skolodji
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Posts: 729
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #9 on:
February 22, 2008, 04:12:11 pm »
If Obama is the nominee, I expect that Democrats wil do better across the board in congressional races.
I think he helps Democratic candidates in the South and midwestern cities by boosting the black vote, particularly affecting:
MS-Sen, NC-Sen
LA-05, LA-04, MS-01, AL-02, OH-01, OH12 (possible sleeper upset), OH-15, NC-08, VA-02, VA-05, etc.
Of course the IL coattails may push IL-10 over the top and may even spark an IL-06 upset.
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The Political Compass
Economic Left/Right: -4.50
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -3.79
Adlai Stevenson
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Posts: 3467
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #10 on:
February 22, 2008, 04:55:24 pm »
Quote from: socaldem on February 22, 2008, 04:12:11 pm
If Obama is the nominee, I expect that Democrats wil do better across the board in congressional races.
I think he helps Democratic candidates in the South and midwestern cities by boosting the black vote, particularly affecting:
MS-Sen, NC-Sen
LA-05, LA-04, MS-01, AL-02, OH-01, OH12 (possible sleeper upset), OH-15, NC-08, VA-02, VA-05, etc.
Of course the IL coattails may push IL-10 over the top and may even spark an IL-06 upset.
He could definitely help in AL-3 which is about 33% black. If the Democrats had a serious candidate there they might reduce Mike Rogers' usual 60%-39% margin.
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CultureKing
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Posts: 3240
Re: How will the GE effect the local races?
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Reply #11 on:
February 22, 2008, 10:24:57 pm »
Quote from: CultureKing on February 17, 2008, 09:11:06 pm
Gregoire may be able to thank Obama if she has a strong showing or even gets reelected in Washington.
Agreed, she was very smart in backing Obama, it earned her some brownie points.
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Econ: -6.50, Social: -5.23
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