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Author Topic: A new NV poll will come out with Clinton 9% ahead and Romney 15% ahead  (Read 3743 times)
Secretary Polnut
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« Reply #25 on: January 18, 2008, 06:21:33 am »
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Any poll where Clinton is leading is trashed.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #26 on: January 18, 2008, 07:42:24 am »
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black voters:

Obama 65
Clinton 19

Hispanic voters:

Clinton 50
Obama 29

blacks are allegedly going to comprise 10% of the electorate and Hispanics, 15%.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #27 on: January 18, 2008, 07:56:49 am »
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Quote from: Fmr Gov. Polnut on January 18, 2008, 06:21:33 am
Any poll where Clinton is leading is trashed.

Can you tell me why this should be the case? It seems to me that Clinton should be considered the odds-on favorite given the Hispanic breakdown.
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Secretary Polnut
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« Reply #28 on: January 18, 2008, 07:59:05 am »
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Quote from: Angel of Death on January 18, 2008, 07:56:49 am
Quote from: Fmr Gov. Polnut on January 18, 2008, 06:21:33 am
Any poll where Clinton is leading is trashed.

Can you tell me why this should be the case? It seems to me that Clinton should be considered the odds-on favorite given the Hispanic breakdown.

That's my thinking, but the glee of the Obama people sends them into bizarre little happy dances everytime they see him ahead - then they question polls when shes leading him.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #29 on: January 18, 2008, 10:45:16 am »
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I'm not going to question it. I'm prepared for a loss Saturday... and if we manage to win by a point somehow, I'll be very happy.
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Gabu
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« Reply #30 on: January 18, 2008, 12:40:10 pm »
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Quote from: Eraserhead on January 18, 2008, 10:45:16 am
I'm not going to question it. I'm prepared for a loss Saturday... and if we manage to win by a point somehow, I'll be very happy.

What happened to telling me to be optimistic? Tongue
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« Reply #31 on: January 18, 2008, 01:22:43 pm »
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Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 17, 2008, 11:17:59 pm
Quote from: Pope Leo XIV on January 17, 2008, 07:51:22 pm
Rumor-

This so-called "poll" is fatally flawed. It was an email poll to the newspapers subscribers. It has zero probability of being correct and statistically incoherent.

But, everyone knows that this method is extremely accurate, as evidenced by the Literary Digest poll of 1936.

Didn't know they had the internet back in 1936.

Thought that Al Gore invented the internet.

Are you telling me that Gore didn't invent the internet?
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Trilobyte
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« Reply #32 on: January 18, 2008, 01:28:42 pm »
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Even if this poll were accurate, Obama will still win because Edwards will not be viable in many precincts. The caucus rules definitely give Obama an edge. I don't see how Clinton can win in Nevada unless Edwards has a very strong showing at Obama's expense.
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Grad Students are the Worst
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« Reply #33 on: January 18, 2008, 01:30:32 pm »
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Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on January 18, 2008, 01:22:43 pm
Didn't know they had the internet back in 1936.

Mailed poll (like the Cleveland Dispatch does every year, I think).  Obviously, though, every newspaper subscriber has an address, but I doubt all provide email addresses.  Like every Internet poll, still trends younger and more inaccurate.

Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on January 18, 2008, 01:22:43 pm
Thought that Al Gore invented the internet.

Are you telling me that Gore didn't invent the internet?

Oh, this is a bad Al Gore joke, not an actual point.  Darn.  Tongue
« Last Edit: January 18, 2008, 01:32:58 pm by Alcon »Logged
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #34 on: January 18, 2008, 01:32:30 pm »
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I wonder, will the Edwards campaign give out any explicit instructions to their people on who to caucus for in precincts where he's not viable?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #35 on: January 18, 2008, 01:44:07 pm »
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Awww...my favorites (Barack Obama and Ayatollah Huckabee) are both getting killed in this poll! 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #36 on: January 18, 2008, 03:05:48 pm »
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Quote from: Gabu on January 18, 2008, 12:40:10 pm
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 18, 2008, 10:45:16 am
I'm not going to question it. I'm prepared for a loss Saturday... and if we manage to win by a point somehow, I'll be very happy.

What happened to telling me to be optimistic? Tongue

I'm trying to play the expectations game. Wink
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Ben.
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« Reply #37 on: January 18, 2008, 04:07:30 pm »
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Quote from: Eraserhead on January 18, 2008, 03:05:48 pm
Quote from: Gabu on January 18, 2008, 12:40:10 pm
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 18, 2008, 10:45:16 am
I'm not going to question it. I'm prepared for a loss Saturday... and if we manage to win by a point somehow, I'll be very happy.

What happened to telling me to be optimistic? Tongue

I'm trying to play the expectations game. Wink

I think we'll do ok expectations wise... as to a win, no idea. Sad
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« Reply #38 on: January 18, 2008, 04:18:40 pm »
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Hang tight. Stephan Colbert projects an Obama win. He got them all right so far, at least on the democratic side.
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Gabu
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« Reply #39 on: January 18, 2008, 04:21:22 pm »
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Quote from: Pope Leo XIV on January 18, 2008, 04:18:40 pm
Hang tight. Stephan Colbert projects an Obama win. He got them all right so far, at least on the democratic side.

Based on what, his "gut"? Tongue
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John Dibble
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« Reply #40 on: January 18, 2008, 05:41:24 pm »
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Quote from: Gabu on January 18, 2008, 04:21:22 pm
Quote from: Pope Leo XIV on January 18, 2008, 04:18:40 pm
Hang tight. Stephan Colbert projects an Obama win. He got them all right so far, at least on the democratic side.

Based on what, his "gut"? Tongue

You forget, Stephen Colbert is America. (and so can you!)
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Χahar
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« Reply #41 on: January 18, 2008, 05:43:05 pm »
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Quote from: SE Magistrate John Dibble on January 18, 2008, 05:41:24 pm
Quote from: Gabu on January 18, 2008, 04:21:22 pm
Quote from: Pope Leo XIV on January 18, 2008, 04:18:40 pm
Hang tight. Stephan Colbert projects an Obama win. He got them all right so far, at least on the democratic side.

Based on what, his "gut"? Tongue

You forget, Stephen Colbert is America. (and so can you!)

Fixed.
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Ben.
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« Reply #42 on: January 18, 2008, 06:08:49 pm »
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Quote from: Gabu on January 18, 2008, 04:21:22 pm
Quote from: Pope Leo XIV on January 18, 2008, 04:18:40 pm
Hang tight. Stephan Colbert projects an Obama win. He got them all right so far, at least on the democratic side.

Based on what, his "gut"? Tongue

My gut says Nevada is know as the silver state and my gut strongly suggests it enjoys a mostly arid climate.
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