official Nevada Republican results thread (user search)
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  official Nevada Republican results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: official Nevada Republican results thread  (Read 27435 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: January 19, 2008, 12:37:22 PM »

Any entrance polls?
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Verily
Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2008, 01:02:18 PM »


Shock!

CNN entrance poll suggests Paul (!) came in second place with over 20% of the vote.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2008, 01:03:46 PM »


Shock!

CNN entrance poll suggests Paul (!) came in second place with over 20% of the vote.

Link: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#NVREP
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2008, 01:07:12 PM »

First results should be released in about 30 mintues ... And there´s high turnout.

http://news.rgj.com/apps/pbcs.dll/frontpage

Which Democratic candidate would be aided by a high turnout?

Those high turnout reports are only from Reno and Carson City, which are considered Obama areas. Repeated only there, it would help Obama. However, if repeated in the heavily Latino areas in Las Vegas, high turnout would help Clinton. It's hard to say.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2008, 01:08:42 PM »

WHat the hell is this?  I thought the results were going to be tonight?  Paul in second place!?  This is just a bizarre dream, I know it.

The Republican caucus was in the morning. The Democratic caucus is at midday (all Pacific time).
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2008, 01:11:02 PM »


352 voters interviewed ? MoE = 7% ? Not really credible yet ...

Still, I wouldn't be too surprised. Early morning caucus means only the really motivated--Paul supporters and Mormons--would show up.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2008, 01:20:41 PM »

First handful of results are in; Romney leads with Huckabee and Paul tied for second. Tiny parts of Elko and Clark Counties.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2008, 02:51:22 PM »

Yes, and now McCain has nearly an 80 vote lead. D*mn you Mack!

Per the entrance poll, Reno is Paulista land, and it isn't counted yet.

I don't know about anyone else, but I would not have expected Reno to be full of Paulistas.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2008, 03:02:58 PM »

CNN's entrance poll breaks it into two religion categories, one which counts Mormons as Protestant (wtf?). But in the second, it appears Mormons make up 25% of the voters, and Romney won 94% of them. With those numbers, no other candidate stood a chance. However Romney also won Catholics and Protestants, though Paul wins "Other Christians" (Takes up 15% of the voters, so it's not some small numbers either. Whats it mean?) over Romney 32-23.

Well, many Evangelicals do not consider themselves Protestants (and will respond simply as "Christian" or "Other Christian"), but somehow I can't see Paul winning Evangelicals.
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