Final Predictions for South Carolina (The Democrats)
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Author Topic: Final Predictions for South Carolina (The Democrats)  (Read 2797 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #25 on: January 25, 2008, 10:50:18 PM »
Obama 44
Clinton 30
Edwards 24
other 2
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #26 on: January 25, 2008, 11:15:14 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2008, 03:05:14 AM by Fmr. Chairman, Fmr. Governor, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC »
Clinton - 33.792%
Edwards - 22.363%
Obama - 43.704%
Other - 0.140%

MoE - 4.044% according to my calculations.

Personally, I think it will be 32% (C) 22% (E) 44% (O) Others - 2%.  I think Kucinich supporters may still vote for him just out of principle and Gravel will get some - that accounts for the 2%.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #27 on: January 26, 2008, 12:38:22 AM »
Obama 52
Clinton 26
Edwards 21
other 1
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J. J.
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« Reply #28 on: January 26, 2008, 12:41:23 AM »
Obama by 8, Clinton ahead of Edwards but less than 1%.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #29 on: January 26, 2008, 12:55:03 AM »
Obama 43
Clinton 33
Edwards 24
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #30 on: January 26, 2008, 12:55:26 AM »
Obama 43
Clinton 31
Edwards 26
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #31 on: January 26, 2008, 12:57:30 AM »
Ours are disturbingly close, Sam.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #32 on: January 26, 2008, 01:00:02 AM »

You stole my prediction!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #33 on: January 26, 2008, 01:29:59 AM »
Obama: 36%
Edwards: 32%
Clinton: 31.5%
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CultureKing
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« Reply #34 on: January 26, 2008, 01:51:34 AM »
Obama: 44
Clinton: 30
Edwards: 26

Basically this is just a complete guess, I have given up on logic after getting so many of the other predictions wrong.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
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« Reply #35 on: January 26, 2008, 04:00:20 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2008, 04:04:28 AM by MATCHU[D] »
[with precentages]

Obama: 42%
Clinton: 31%
Edwards: 27%


something like that maybe...kinda sorta alittle? Bah I dunno Sad
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #36 on: January 26, 2008, 05:02:18 AM »
Clinton by two over Obama.

Hey, I have to call it so I can claim bragging rights if she somehow wins this thing.  Wink
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #37 on: January 26, 2008, 05:50:50 AM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on January 26, 2008, 05:02:18 AM
Clinton by two over Obama.

Hey, I have to call it so I can claim bragging rights if she somehow wins this thing.  Wink

If someone gives you 10,000:1 odds, always take the bet.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #38 on: January 26, 2008, 12:14:24 PM »

As long as they're right, that's all we should care about.
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Boris
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« Reply #39 on: January 26, 2008, 12:49:38 PM »
Obama: 43.12%
Clinton: 31.42%
Edwards: 24.25%
Other: 1.21%
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #40 on: January 26, 2008, 01:00:32 PM »
Obama: 39%
Clinton: 34%
Edwards: 25%
Others: 2%
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elcorazon
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« Reply #41 on: January 27, 2008, 02:18:17 AM »
not bad, eh? I only overrated Edwards a tad.
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Verily
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« Reply #42 on: January 27, 2008, 02:21:15 AM »
Quote from: Verily on January 25, 2008, 10:35:03 PM
What the hell, I'll be extremely optimistic:

Obama: 51
Edwards: 25
Clinton: 24

Why not be?

I guess absurd optimism is sufficient sometimes. I nailed the Obama-Clinton margin, though I was off on the percentages (especially for Edwards).
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Gabu
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« Reply #43 on: January 27, 2008, 02:23:36 AM »
Quote from: Gabu on January 25, 2008, 07:30:16 PM
Given my propensity for making bad primary predictions, I'm going to go with Clinton winning with 40% and hope that my streak continues.

For my next act, I'm going to predict Clinton breaking 50% in Florida and in every single Super Tuesday state.
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Meeker
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« Reply #44 on: January 27, 2008, 03:24:37 AM »
Updated prediction:

Obama: 55%
Clinton: 27%
Edwards: 18%

Cheesy
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #45 on: January 27, 2008, 03:44:15 AM »
Quote from: Verily on January 25, 2008, 10:35:03 PM
What the hell, I'll be extremely optimistic:

Obama: 51
Edwards: 25
Clinton: 24

Why not be?

haha good job Verily. Overestimated Edwards but still pretty damn good.
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