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| | |-+  which of the following ST states will Obama win?
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Question: which of the following ST states will Obama win?
Alabama   -29 (8.6%)
Alaska   -22 (6.5%)
Arizona   -4 (1.2%)
Arkansas   -4 (1.2%)
California   -8 (2.4%)
Colorado   -27 (8%)
Connecticut   -2 (0.6%)
Delaware   -16 (4.8%)
Georgia   -32 (9.5%)
Idaho   -21 (6.3%)
Illinois   -33 (9.8%)
Kansas   -20 (6%)
Massachusetts   -11 (3.3%)
Minnesota   -19 (5.7%)
Missouri   -18 (5.4%)
New Jersey   -2 (0.6%)
New Mexico   -1 (0.3%)
New York   -0 (0%)
North Dakota   -20 (6%)
Oklahoma   -8 (2.4%)
Tennessee   -23 (6.8%)
Utah   -15 (4.5%)
He will not win a single primary or caucus   -1 (0.3%)
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Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: which of the following ST states will Obama win?  (Read 464 times)
tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: January 27, 2008, 04:34:32 pm »
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we're not going to have much polling information on most of these (and the polls thus far have been so inaccurate, maybe that's a good thing) so we're going to have to fly it blind.

I'll be somewhat optimistic and say AL, AK, CO, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, TN, UT.  within ten in CA, MO, and OK.
« Last Edit: January 27, 2008, 04:37:47 pm by Nihilists for Mitt Romney »Logged

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Boris
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« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2008, 04:37:07 pm »
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Voted AL, CO, GA, IL, MN, TN
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2008, 04:39:34 pm »
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Arizona         
Arkansas         
New Jersey         
New Mexico         
New York         
Oklahoma         

Those are the only states where Obama has virtually no chance of winning.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2008, 04:41:27 pm »
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Arizona         
Arkansas         
New Jersey         
New Mexico         
New York         
Oklahoma         

Those are the only states where Obama has virtually no chance of winning.

agreed
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2008, 04:42:23 pm »
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Since I see no reason not to be optimistic rather than "realistic" (and it worked in South Carolina):

Alabama
Alaska
Colorado
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Jersey (Again, this isn't home state bias; I really don't see the "Clinton has pseudo-incumbency" here, and Obama has polled better here than in Massachusetts, for example.)
North Dakota
Tennessee
Utah
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Volatilesaff
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2008, 04:42:33 pm »
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Alabama    
Alaska    
Colorado  
Connecticut    
Delaware  
Georgia  
Idaho
Illinois    
Kansas    
Minnesota  
Tennessee    
Utah
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Warren '16!
Gabu
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« Reply #6 on: January 27, 2008, 04:51:46 pm »
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I'll vote for only Illinois; that will ensure that Obama sweeps Super Tuesday.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #7 on: January 27, 2008, 05:19:48 pm »
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Strong Clinton states:
New York
New Jersey
Arkansas
New Mexico


Strong Obama states:

Illinois


Soft Clinton states:
Connecticut
Arizona
California
Oklahoma
Massachusetts

Soft Obama states:
Colorado
North Dakota
Georgia
Minnesota
Utah
Idaho
Kansas
Alaska

Pure toss-ups:
Tennessee
Missouri
Alabama
Delaware

Clinton and Obama are now deadlocked at 9-9.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2008, 01:55:25 am »
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Too early to say. I have to see what impact South Carolina and the Kennedy endorsement will have.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: January 28, 2008, 02:24:28 pm »
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AL AR CA CO GA ID IL KS MS ND TN
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