Who has a better chance of winning the GOP nomination?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 05:44:17 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Who has a better chance of winning the GOP nomination?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who has a better chance of winning the GOP nomination?
#1
Huckabee
 
#2
Giuliani
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Who has a better chance of winning the GOP nomination?  (Read 479 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,026
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 26, 2008, 11:23:56 PM »

Huckabee.

Right now Giuliani has no real path to the nomination. Win Florida, what does he get out of it other than salvaging New York? He's not going to get massive momentum from winning his home state by 2-3 points or so.

Huckabee on the other hand is still strong in most of the south. His biggest obstacle is that he's out of money, but Giuliani will be soon too. And of course, Giuliani might as well be polling zero in many southern states. Combine that with the winner take all states, and it's entirely possible he doesn't win a single delegate outside of Florida and New York. But a person can not win the nomination with negligible support in the regional base of their party.
Logged
MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2008, 11:24:52 PM »

Which number is greater? 0 or 0?
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2008, 11:32:33 PM »

And of course, Giuliani might as well be polling zero in many southern states. Combine that with the winner take all states, and it's entirely possible he doesn't win a single delegate outside of Florida and New York.

FL and NY are both WTA, so he might well exit the race without a single delegate.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2008, 11:34:06 PM »

Huckabee
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,479
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2008, 11:58:28 PM »


haha agreed... although if I had to choose, I would go with Huck.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,026
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2008, 01:56:59 AM »

And of course, Giuliani might as well be polling zero in many southern states. Combine that with the winner take all states, and it's entirely possible he doesn't win a single delegate outside of Florida and New York.

FL and NY are both WTA, so he might well exit the race without a single delegate.

He got a delegate in Nevada I think, but that might very well be it for him.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 27, 2008, 04:56:12 AM »

I actually say Guliani. The reason is that his plan is winning Florida and then going on from there. We haven't seen Florida yet so we can't say for sure that this plan will fail. Huckabee's plan on the other hand WAS to win SC - and we know that failed. Huckabee has underperformed in every state since Iowa and he needed to do well there. Guliani, arguably, didn't, to the same extent. So, both are really low, but whereas I can see in theory Guliani winning Florida and getting massive momentum for SUper Tuesday I really don't see Huckabee getting anywhere beyond a couple of Southern primaries .
Logged
TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2008, 02:20:02 PM »

Huck's done.  A Giuliani early-voting miracle in FL keeps him on life support.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.22 seconds with 15 queries.