Official Florida Primary Result Page (Bipartisan)
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #25 on: January 29, 2008, 06:20:02 PM »

Im officially switching over to McCain by 3 points.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #26 on: January 29, 2008, 06:25:00 PM »

MaCain by a point is still my call.

Yep, mine too
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #27 on: January 29, 2008, 06:27:34 PM »

MSNBC is releasing exit polls....47% think the econmy is the most important...with the war on terror coming in last at 13%.

69% of conservatives voted absentee, 46% were the elderly

Romney should do pretty well if those numbers are accurate.


The economy number seems to favor romney...not quite sure about the large number of conservatives voting absentee or elderly voting absentee favors him though...
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #28 on: January 29, 2008, 06:33:27 PM »

MSNBC is releasing exit polls....47% think the econmy is the most important...with the war on terror coming in last at 13%.

69% of conservatives voted absentee, 46% were the elderly

Romney should do pretty well if those numbers are accurate.


The economy number seems to favor romney...not quite sure about the large number of conservatives voting absentee or elderly voting absentee favors him though...
But if Romney thinks he only needs 2-3% going into today to win and all of those conservatives and elderly already voted, that may be a positive.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #29 on: January 29, 2008, 06:36:15 PM »

Considering the numbers, it is way too early to be predicting anything, at present.  The numbers are way too close.  Moreover, I still don't buy this 2%-3% rumor - we'll see if it turns out to be right.  And once again, I don't trust exit polls, though they've been ok so far this year, for the most part.

Key area to examine is the Tampa-St. Pete area.  Hopefully, I'll be around there.
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J. J.
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« Reply #30 on: January 29, 2008, 06:38:54 PM »

Considering the numbers, it is way too early to be predicting anything, at present.  The numbers are way too close.  Moreover, I still don't buy this 2%-3% rumor - we'll see if it turns out to be right.  And once again, I don't trust exit polls, though they've been ok so far this year, for the most part.

Key area to examine is the Tampa-St. Pete area.  Hopefully, I'll be around there.

I think it will be the conservative panhandle.

If it's announce by 8:30 PM, it's a win for whomever.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #31 on: January 29, 2008, 06:42:22 PM »

Considering the numbers, it is way too early to be predicting anything, at present.  The numbers are way too close.  Moreover, I still don't buy this 2%-3% rumor - we'll see if it turns out to be right.  And once again, I don't trust exit polls, though they've been ok so far this year, for the most part.

Key area to examine is the Tampa-St. Pete area.  Hopefully, I'll be around there.

I think it will be the conservative panhandle.

If it's announce by 8:30 PM, it's a win for whomever.

The Panhandle is a mix of young military evangelical conservatives mixed together.....so it all goes well with Huckabee and McCain but not really Romney.
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J. J.
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« Reply #32 on: January 29, 2008, 06:46:09 PM »

Considering the numbers, it is way too early to be predicting anything, at present.  The numbers are way too close.  Moreover, I still don't buy this 2%-3% rumor - we'll see if it turns out to be right.  And once again, I don't trust exit polls, though they've been ok so far this year, for the most part.

Key area to examine is the Tampa-St. Pete area.  Hopefully, I'll be around there.

I think it will be the conservative panhandle.

If it's announce by 8:30 PM, it's a win for whomever.

The Panhandle is a mix of young military evangelical conservatives mixed together.....so it all goes well with Huckabee and McCain but not really Romney.

Some of Huckabee's supporters might be voting strategically.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #33 on: January 29, 2008, 06:59:44 PM »

I'm hoping Mitt's talk about 2-3% was just an attempt to boost turnout. You never want to overstate your position.

But yeah, he better win this. If he loses it then McCain might as well have it wrapped up. McCain will even lead in delegates for the first time.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #34 on: January 29, 2008, 07:03:02 PM »

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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #35 on: January 29, 2008, 07:05:18 PM »

Fox News:
For voters whose top issue is the Economy:
McCain 38, Romney 34, Huckabee 12, Giuliani 10
http://thepage.time.com/more-fox-news-exit-poll-results/

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #36 on: January 29, 2008, 07:06:23 PM »

Fox News:
For voters whose top issue is the Economy:
McCain 38, Romney 34, Huckabee 12, Giuliani 10
http://thepage.time.com/more-fox-news-exit-poll-results/



That's interesting...
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #37 on: January 29, 2008, 07:07:05 PM »

Fox News:
For voters whose top issue is the Economy:
McCain 38, Romney 34, Huckabee 12, Giuliani 10
http://thepage.time.com/more-fox-news-exit-poll-results/



That's interesting...
Bad news for My Man Mitt.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #38 on: January 29, 2008, 07:08:34 PM »


If only we could really trust exit polls.  Maybe we can this time, but I'm still leery.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #39 on: January 29, 2008, 07:09:43 PM »

Fox News:
For voters whose top issue is the Economy:
McCain 38, Romney 34, Huckabee 12, Giuliani 10
http://thepage.time.com/more-fox-news-exit-poll-results/



That's interesting...

Uh oh. Mitt's Last Stand?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #40 on: January 29, 2008, 07:11:05 PM »

Intrade has McCain as a 70-30 favorite.  looks like it's over.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #41 on: January 29, 2008, 07:12:01 PM »

A handful of votes have come out on the Dem. side:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#FL

Clinton 45%
Obama 25%
Edwards 25%
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Torie
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« Reply #42 on: January 29, 2008, 07:13:03 PM »


Terrible news for Mitt. In the SurveyUSA poll that had the race tied, Mitt beat McCain on the economy 40%-29%. 

I might as well make my election prediction now. McCain will win by a 6% margin.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #43 on: January 29, 2008, 07:13:11 PM »

And some GOP results too.  Romney leading by 3%, but just a handful of votes out.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #44 on: January 29, 2008, 07:13:34 PM »

EDWARDS!
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #45 on: January 29, 2008, 07:16:28 PM »


Terrible news for Mitt. In the SurveyUSA poll that had the race tied, Mitt beat McCain on the economy 40%-29%. 

I might as well make my election prediction now. McCain will win by a 6% margin.

Maybe, but you know the MOE on those sorts of things.  Hard to extrapolate, IMHO.
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J. J.
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« Reply #46 on: January 29, 2008, 07:17:01 PM »

Intrade has McCain as a 70-30 favorite.  looks like it's over.

Sell McCain, it's overpriced.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #47 on: January 29, 2008, 07:17:06 PM »

Some of the early voters are in the results now. Giuliani with 17% and in fourth of those. Not good for him at all.
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Torie
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« Reply #48 on: January 29, 2008, 07:17:30 PM »

It is just a wild guess, based on all of the tea leaves. The Hispanic numbers moved too.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #49 on: January 29, 2008, 07:17:41 PM »

Intrade has McCain as a 70-30 favorite.  looks like it's over.

Sell McCain, it's overpriced.

can you drop the Intrade God complex?  it's very annoying
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