Obama leading Clinton in 3 different CA Polls
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 05:40:23 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  Obama leading Clinton in 3 different CA Polls
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Obama leading Clinton in 3 different CA Polls  (Read 3138 times)
8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 03, 2008, 05:59:44 PM »

Zogby +4
Rasmussen +1
Suffolk +1

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-259.html

Call it dead even

The Field Poll that has Clinton+2 is a strange poll.

Anybody believe that 30% are undecided?  That what Field has.  I'd throw that out

Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2008, 06:12:09 PM »

The Field Poll has traditionally been the best poll in California, though that 30% undecided figure is a bit ridiculous.
Logged
Flying Dog
Jtfdem
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,404
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2008, 06:14:11 PM »

The Field Poll has traditionally been the best poll in California, though that 30% undecided figure is a bit ridiculous.

Yeah, they really don't push people. do they? At least it isn't as bad as that Montana poll that had Huckabee winning with 16% of the vote and 48% undecided.
Logged
8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2008, 06:14:26 PM »

The Field Poll has traditionally been the best poll in California, though that 30% undecided figure is a bit ridiculous.

I agree usually Field is the best.  I cannot believe 30% undecided either.  It's a strange one
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2008, 06:15:08 PM »

The majority of that 30% will break for Clinton; my prediction.
Logged
8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2008, 06:16:08 PM »

Of course, you could also assume, after all this time if Hillary cannot get the voters in the Field poll, it will bode well for Obama. 

I still think it's just a strange poll
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2008, 06:17:35 PM »

The majority of that 30% will break for Clinton; my prediction.
I'd think that Clinton functions as more of the incumbent, so that 30% would probably break mostly to Obama.
Logged
8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2008, 06:17:43 PM »

The majority of that 30% will break for Clinton; my prediction.

Disagree if the 30% is really undecided.  Clinton is in big trouble.  She has lost momentum and it figures not to break back to her since she had huge leads
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2008, 06:22:48 PM »

The majority of that 30% will break for Clinton; my prediction.

On what basis?

Clinton has been the one losing in the polls, and undecideds rarely "wobble" back to their original candidate when there is this sort of momentum.

Then again, if those all are very marginal Clinton supporters considering Obama...but that would be a rare occurrence not really supported in other polls.
Logged
Aizen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,511


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -9.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2008, 06:24:21 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,388
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2008, 06:25:08 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

Don't say that.  Remember what happened last time people said that.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 03, 2008, 06:25:37 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

Don't say that.  Remember what happened last time people said that.

You mean in South Carolina? Wink
Logged
8 out of 11 is not deserved
pollwatch99-b
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2008, 06:25:49 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

No, wait until she doesn't have enough delegates.  The establishment super delegates favor her
Logged
Aizen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,511


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -9.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 03, 2008, 06:26:23 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

No, wait until she doesn't have enough delegates.  The establishment super delegates favor her


No, stick a fork in her
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 03, 2008, 06:27:13 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

Don't say that.  Remember what happened last time people said that.

And at least there was some justification for that.
Logged
Flying Dog
Jtfdem
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,404
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 03, 2008, 06:29:09 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

Bite your tongue.

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

No, wait until she doesn't have enough delegates.  The establishment super delegates favor her

I doubt that if Obama wins the elected delegates over Hillary that the supers will go against the elected delegates to throw the nomination towards hillary. They would be stupid to do that.
Logged
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,137
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 03, 2008, 07:04:07 PM »

Stick a fork in Hillary, she's finished.

No, wait until she doesn't have enough delegates.  The establishment super delegates favor her

I have a feeling that's not true: way more big names have endorsed Obama than have endorsed Hillary, and if anyone has the clout to win over super-delegate votes it's Ted Kennedy. Plus most red-state dems will vote for Obama because they don't want to be beat over the head with attack ads featuring hillary clinton for the next 4-8 years.
Logged
Flying Dog
Jtfdem
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,404
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: February 03, 2008, 07:39:41 PM »

rumor is that gore might endorse Obama after Tuesday if he is perceived as the winner or it is a tie.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,166
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: February 03, 2008, 08:03:47 PM »

rumor is that gore might endorse Obama after Tuesday if he is perceived as the winner or it is a tie.
Helpful timing. Tongue Cheesy
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: February 03, 2008, 08:07:15 PM »

Well, it would be pretty embarrassing if Gore endorsed Obama tomorrow only to have Obama lose Tennessee the day after that.
Logged
Flying Dog
Jtfdem
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,404
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: February 03, 2008, 08:12:53 PM »

Well, it would be pretty embarrassing if Gore endorsed Obama tomorrow only to have Obama lose Tennessee the day after that.

Yeah, I think that's why he's waiting until after tuesday.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2008, 08:23:38 PM »

Well, it would be pretty embarrassing if Gore endorsed Obama tomorrow only to have Obama lose Tennessee the day after that.

I would think Gore is used to losing Tennessee.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,388
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: February 03, 2008, 08:24:48 PM »

Well, it would be pretty embarrassing if Gore endorsed Obama tomorrow only to have Obama lose Tennessee the day after that.

Do people even think of Tennessee as his home state anymore?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 14 queries.