Opinion of Nate Silver
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 10:18:53 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Individual Politics (Moderator: The Dowager Mod)
  Opinion of Nate Silver
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Opinion of Nate Silver
#1
Freedom Fighter
 
#2
Horrible Person
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 18

Author Topic: Opinion of Nate Silver  (Read 1455 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,050
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 24, 2008, 02:17:40 AM »

The best political analyst in America. Period. The end.
Logged
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,477
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2008, 02:22:35 AM »

The best political analyst in America. Period. The end.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2008, 02:54:53 AM »
« Edited: November 24, 2008, 02:59:49 AM by Lunar »

One of the better analysts, he makes lots of awful mistakes.  I think Marc Ambinder is clearly the best, followed by Nate.

Distributing undecided voters by their breakout during the primaries?  Weighting polls by their accuracy during the primaries?  Clearly there'd be some discrepancies there but he never acknowledges them.  He's clearly a very bright guy and possibly a genius, but his social awkwardness and history as a baseball guy means that sometimes he misses basic politics.

He has great political instincts but he worships his own numbers a bit  much and his number nerdiness can cause him to miss the obvious that exists immediately outside his own bubble.   I've heard Democratic operatives, on multiple occasions, state that they prefer his (and Sean's) political analysis over their number crunching.  The numbers yield very few conclusions but sometimes he breaks an issue down to its most base political merits and harms very effectively.


Hes the best political predictor on the internet (outside myself -- since I beat him Smiley).


But yeah, the guy with the coolest sources and best gut political instincts regarding any event is Ambinder Smiley
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2008, 02:57:20 AM »

Not perfect, but probably the best. He'll improve on the minor defects as time goes on.
Logged
MK
Mike Keller
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,432
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2008, 07:25:25 AM »

The best political analyst in America. Period. The end.

Wouldn't ring that bell yet.

He's pretty good.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2008, 12:01:41 PM »

The best political analyst in America. Period. The end.

he's not an analyst, he's a statistician.  he is far more brilliant with his work on baseball.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2008, 12:46:21 PM »

He and his buddy Sean do pretty good analytical work, actually

But BRTD might not be talking about that
Logged
Jake
dubya2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2008, 01:06:15 PM »

One of my favorite people and was before he became well-known. He's absolutely brilliant.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2008, 04:53:15 PM »

The best political analyst in America. Period. The end.

Agreed.
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,781


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2008, 05:21:28 PM »

Sean's funny and exceptionally hard-working.  His reinactment of Kerouac is classic Americana, even if it was very different than Kerouac's original trip.

Nate is a genius, and despite the quirks in his methodology, he was nearly exactly right.  Can't argue with that.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,708
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2008, 07:36:19 PM »

One of my favorite people and was before he became well-known. He's absolutely brilliant.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 24, 2008, 07:47:40 PM »

The Great Prophet
Logged
MK
Mike Keller
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,432
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2008, 10:13:06 AM »

A absolutely brilliant nerd who I wouldn't want to have a hotdog with.

Hes great though.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.235 seconds with 14 queries.