WA: Survey USA: McCain in Dems tied in WA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Washington President by Survey USA on 2008-02-04

Summary: D: 46%, R: 46%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Person Man]

McCain doesn't last against Obama. I think Obama will do well in the west, actually.

[Sam Spade]

Clinton really is so much stronger in the upper South.  Obama would be so much stronger out in the Pacific Northwest.  But we knew this already.

[ottermax]

Clinton would keep a lot of the East, but lose significant votes in the NW and Midwest. Might not seem important, but I can only see her gaining Arkansas, Ohio, and Missouri. If she loses Oregon, WA, Wisconsin, Iowa, and possibly Minnesota she will be in trouble.

[Person Man]

she won't lose Iowa or Minnesota. She will win Arkansas, Ohio and NewMexico. She will probably lose Wisconsin. Her defense has to be Oregon and Pennsylvania and she needs to use Missouri, Florida Colorado and Nevada as potential places to make up loses. She will have to keep McCain on the defensive in Virginia, West Virginia and Kentucky.

If she wins all of her first tiers and loses all of McCain's targets, she will have netted ZERO evs.

She will then have to win Florida or Missouri and the Hispanic vote in the Southwest.