Mccain in Maine

[LoveItorLeaveIt]

What do you people think will be the outcome in Maine?  I know it is a pretty liberal state but I think it could swing over to Senator Mccain because the democrat candidates are both so weak. 

I never liked Kerry or Gore but I think they had a lot less racist and moral baggage than the two democrat candidates now running.
 
will it put Maine into play?  thanks!

[Aizen]

McMaine

(LOL)


But really, I highly doubt Maine goes for McCain.

[exopolitician]

Maine is safe for the dems......again.

[MODU]

He might pick up one delegate, but I don't think he could carry the whole state.

[Alcon]

ME-2 is an unlikely possibility.  The only poll out of Maine we've had was 53-39 Obama.  I think you're being too optimistic.

[MODU]

ME-2 is an unlikely possibility.  The only poll out of Maine we've had was 53-39 Obama.  I think you're being too optimistic.

The question comes down to this:  How much money is McCain ready to commit to a state with just 4 EVs?

[minionofmidas]

So far the only poll of Maine is SUSA's recent poll of all states. According to that Clinton is up 6 against McCain and Obama is up 14. It is probably safe to say that, against Obama, McCain's chances are zilch.

ME-2 against Hilary is a realistic possibility... if Gun Control somehow miraculously becomes an issue again, and Nader runs as well as he did in 2000 (ie, the same combination of factors that made it close in 2000.)

[WalterMitty]

solid clinton.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Clinton: 54
McCain: 45

Obama: 58
McCain: 41

[Smash255]

Lol, No.

[Reaganfan]

A few counties switch to McCain...but not enough to flip the state.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Not going to happen.

[Eraserhead]

solid clinton.

lol.

[Gustaf]

Didn't they change the district borders since 2000? Otherwise I'd have McCain as the favourite in that close district against Clinton. But I believe it was changed. Overall, no. Though if there were to be an big McCain win Maine wouldn't be among the last to switch. It was after all only 54-46 in 2004 so it could turn out as something like 53-47 this time. But no one is going to devote time and resources to it.

[Brittain33]

Didn't they change the district borders since 2000? Otherwise I'd have McCain as the favourite in that close district against Clinton. But I believe it was changed. Overall, no. Though if there were to be an big McCain win Maine wouldn't be among the last to switch. It was after all only 54-46 in 2004 so it could turn out as something like 53-47 this time. But no one is going to devote time and resources to it.

The district borders changed slightly; a few towns were shifted from ME-01 to ME-02.

[Kevinstat]

Three towns and one township (with a 2000 census populaton of 41 IIRC but no registered voters attributed to that township, so they probably vote in the town to the south that is and has been since 1994 at least in all the same districts) moved from CD-2 to CD-1 also.  One city and 6 towns moved from CD-1 to CD-2.

A post of mine on an old Maine thread:

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I'm sure Second district (in either it's old or it's current form) was closer than either form of the first district in the 2006 Gubernatorial election, although I haven't calculated the percentages.

It should be noted that Maine's second district (in its slightly less Democratic form at the time) might have been called earlier than it was in 2000 if attention hadn't become dominated by Florida.  Some of the networks that called 3 of Maine's 4 electors for Gore may have forgotten that they hadn't called the forth elector.  Gore's 1.87% final margin there was larger than Bush's 1.27% final margin in New Hampshire, which was called at 10:05 p.m. according to Dave's Election 2000 Night Timeline.  New Hampshire's polls did close an hour before Maine's though, and New Hampshire has fewer municipalities than Maine and probably Maine's second district.  But I still think the networks that didn't call Maine's second district with the rest of the state kind of forgot about it after that.

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

MAINE PRESIDENT -
56% (D) Obama
41% (R) McCain


I think the jury is still out on the Collins-Allen Senate race but that will be close, and Obama may well carry Allen over the threshold. 

[Stranger in a strange land]

My prediction:

MAINE PRESIDENT -
56% (D) Obama
41% (R) McCain


I think the jury is still out on the Collins-Allen Senate race but that will be close, and Obama may well carry Allen over the threshold. 

Obama will win comfortably, buy Allen still has an uphill battle. Collins would be in severe trouble with Huckabee at the top of the ticket, but with McCain she'll likely be safe.