Feb. 9th primaries & caucuses--Dem. results thread

[bgwah]

Ha Jesus, remember when you bet your precinct would be stronger for Obama than mine?

Yes!!

It only had 16 people so it's a pretty small sample... Was yours the entire caucus location or just your single precinct?

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:
14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Anyway, I was the tally clerk. I got to count the votes, haha.

So 20-0 Obama, right?

Haha.

[Democratic Hawk]

Sounds like Obama will win Louisiana by about 10 points, unless blacks act differently than they have before.

Maybe more, if whites vote like they did in GA rather than AL

Dave

The whites in LA are more like the whites in AL, if not more racist. 

So the primary could be even more racially polarised than AL then? Is MS likely to be the same?

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:

14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Now if only the caucus could be like that at large

Dave

[Sam Spade]

Sounds like Obama will win Louisiana by about 10 points, unless blacks act differently than they have before.

Maybe more, if whites vote like they did in GA rather than AL

Dave

The whites in LA are more like the whites in AL, if not more racist. 

So the primary could be even more racially polarised than AL then? Is MS likely to be the same?

Dave

Of course, it's going to be racially polarized (Is the Pope Catholic?).  MS will be as well.

It will "appear" less polarized than AL county-wise, because the blacks are more spread out in LA, but it'll still be there.  

[Joe Biden 2020]

So, i guess we can expect a really good night for Barack Obama, as expected.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Ha Jesus, remember when you bet your precinct would be stronger for Obama than mine?

Yes!!

It only had 16 people so it's a pretty small sample... Was yours the entire caucus location or just your single precinct?

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:
14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Anyway, I was the tally clerk. I got to count the votes, haha.

So 20-0 Obama, right?

Haha.

I thought Washington had their primary today and their caucus on February 19?  I'm confused.

[Verily]

Ha Jesus, remember when you bet your precinct would be stronger for Obama than mine?

Yes!!

It only had 16 people so it's a pretty small sample... Was yours the entire caucus location or just your single precinct?

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:
14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Anyway, I was the tally clerk. I got to count the votes, haha.

So 20-0 Obama, right?

Haha.

I thought Washington had their primary today and their caucus on February 19?  I'm confused.

Other way around. And the primary is even more of a beauty contest than Florida was.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Ha Jesus, remember when you bet your precinct would be stronger for Obama than mine?

Yes!!

It only had 16 people so it's a pretty small sample... Was yours the entire caucus location or just your single precinct?

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:
14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Anyway, I was the tally clerk. I got to count the votes, haha.

So 20-0 Obama, right?

Haha.

I thought Washington had their primary today and their caucus on February 19?  I'm confused.

Other way around. And the primary is even more of a beauty contest than Florida was.

Darn CNN.com.

What time do the caucuses close?

[bgwah]

The caucuses should all be done by now (mine ended an hour ago). We could have results within two hours.

[Gabu]

Anyway, I don't really remember the split that well, hold on...

We had:

14 whites: 11 Obama, 3 Clinton
2 blacks: 1 Obama, 1 Clinton

8 men: 7 Obama, 1 Clinton
8 women: 5 Obama, 3 Clinton

Now if only the caucus could be like that at large

Dave

Hardly, if Clinton got 50% of the black vote the media would never stop talking about it.

[TomC]

My middle-class, old-leaning, WWI suburban Tacoma precinct, near where Clinton campaigned, was 14 Obama, 6 Clinton.

My friends', adjacent to UPS (campaign Clinton locale) was 15-5.

All of the precincts were at least 3:2 Obama.

This bodes well for a statewide landslide.

Oh, I'm a delegate.

Excellent! Thank you for doing that.

[Torie]

The teaser poll results in Louisiana suggest that it will be a relatively tight race - probably Obama by a few percent. If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

[Alcon]

More reports coming in.

Seattle city:

Belltown: 5-to-1 Obama
Eastlake: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Cap Hill (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
Crown Hill: 3-to-1 Obama
Green Lake: 5-to-1 Obama
Interbay: "Obama landslide"
Madison Park: "Very close"
Rainier Beach: 8-to-1 Obama
Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama
South Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama

Other:

Bellingham: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Lake Forest Park (suburban Seattle): 4.5-to-1 Obama
Maple Valley: 1.5-to-1 Obama
Olympia: 3-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (central): 1.5-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama

[Filuwaúrdjan]

If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

I AM SHOCKED!!!!!11111

[CultureKing]

In the two precincts that I know of (I was at a wake so I learned through my friends but still voted through proxy) the result was:
78% Obama
22% Clinton

and the other about 66% Obama and 33% Clinton (rough estimate)

The first was in the city of Olympia while the second was Steamboat Island area to the west (A rural but liberal area).

[Torie]

If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

I AM SHOCKED!!!!!11111

Well he got 26% of it in South Carolina. It does not look like he will get that much in Louisiana per the tea leaves, but I am filling in perhaps too many blanks. Those in Louisiana concerned about the economy split evenly between the two candidates is the main tea leaf I am looking at.

[Torie]

More reports coming in.

Seattle city:

Belltown: 5-to-1 Obama
Eastlake: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Cap Hill (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
Crown Hill: 3-to-1 Obama
Green Lake: 5-to-1 Obama
Interbay: "Obama landslide"
Madison Park: "Very close"
Rainier Beach: 8-to-1 Obama
Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama
South Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama

Other:

Bellingham: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Lake Forest Park (suburban Seattle): 4.5-to-1 Obama
Maple Valley: 1.5-to-1 Obama
Olympia: 3-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (central): 1.5-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama

That is interesting. Madison Park is high income, yet Obama is relatively weak there. Obama is doing very well in eclectic, gay and university zones in Seattle, at least in neighborhood names that I recognize.  Where is "interbay?" Is that a minority area?

[Lief 🗽]

If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

I AM SHOCKED!!!!!11111

Well he got 26% of it in South Carolina. It does not look like he will get that much in Louisiana per the tea leaves, but I am filling in perhaps too many blanks. Those in Louisiana concerned about the economy split evenly between the two candidates is the main tea leaf I am looking at.

Where are you getting these polls?

[Torie]

If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

I AM SHOCKED!!!!!11111

Well he got 26% of it in South Carolina. It does not look like he will get that much in Louisiana per the tea leaves, but I am filling in perhaps too many blanks. Those in Louisiana concerned about the economy split evenly between the two candidates is the main tea leaf I am looking at.

Where are you getting these polls?

They are being reported on Fox News.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

If true, Obama didn't get much of the white vote there.

I AM SHOCKED!!!!!11111

Well he got 26% of it in South Carolina. It does not look like he will get that much in Louisiana per the tea leaves, but I am filling in perhaps too many blanks. Those in Louisiana concerned about the economy split evenly between the two candidates is the main tea leaf I am looking at.

Where are you getting these polls?

They are being reported on Fox News.

OMG FOXKKK KKKONSPIRAECEEE!!!!!11111

[bkey]

CNN.com only has the Washinton primary listed as being on Feb. 19. I thought there was a caucus today where delegates are actually being given. Am I wrong about this?

[Torie]

Ya, I am probably the only participant watching Fox News on this thread.

[Alcon]

More reports coming in.

Seattle city:

Belltown: 5-to-1 Obama
Eastlake: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Cap Hill (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
Crown Hill: 3-to-1 Obama
Green Lake: 5-to-1 Obama
Interbay: "Obama landslide"
Madison Park: "Very close"
Rainier Beach: 8-to-1 Obama
Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama
South Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama

Other:

Bellingham: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Lake Forest Park (suburban Seattle): 4.5-to-1 Obama
Maple Valley: 1.5-to-1 Obama
Olympia: 3-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (central): 1.5-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama

That is interesting. Madison Park is high income, yet Obama is relatively weak there. Obama is doing very well in eclectic, gay and university zones in Seattle, at least in neighborhood names that I recognize.

Eh.

Madison Park is Seattle's oldest area, too.  Keep in mind that these are only one precinct reports too (except for Madison Park, actually, which is two - one narrow each way).

The Lake Hills region of Bellevue, which is very affluent and almost half senior citizen, is reporting a 3-to-1 margin for Obama.

Other reports:

- Obama landslide in Port Townsend
- Strong Obama wins in Everett

Before I call a 2-to-1 landslide, I want reports from Vancouver and Spokane, and rural areas.

But...Obama landslide.

[Alcon]

CNN.com only has the Washinton primary listed as being on Feb. 19. I thought there was a caucus today where delegates are actually being given. Am I wrong about this?

Kinda.

The Democrats won't count the primary at all, the GOP will count it for half (and the caucuses today as the other half).

[Alcon]

Reports of 9-to-1 murder in downtown Olympia

Clinton failing to receive any delegates in Carnation, a small left-leaning town outside of metro Seattle

UW dorms giving Obama votes at 8-to-1 margin

Unless Clinton is doing very well in rural areas...this is way beyond what I'd have ever expected.  My prediction blew.