Canada Election Contest

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, one of these again. This is seperate to the Predict All Ridings On A Map thing and has seperate bragging rights.

=================

1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?

6. Lowest % and a win?

7. Closest riding

8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.

----Random Bonus Questions---

I: Predict the number of Ministers to lose their seats

II: Predict the biggest name to be defeated

III: Shock of the night?

IV: "Star" Candidate That Flopped Hardest? (aka. the Marc Garneau Prize)

[Verily]

1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).
CPC: 122
LPC: 93
BQ: 52
NDP: 38
GPC: 1
OTH: 2

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.
CPC: 34%
LPC: 27%
BQ: 9%
NDP: 19%
GPC: 10%

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.
CPC: 84%, 77 points (in Crowfoot)
LPC: 69%, 47 points (in Scarborough—Rouge River)
BQ: 62%, 43 points (in La Pointe-de-l'Île)
NDP: 59%, 34 points (in St. John's East)
GPC: 36%, 2 points (in Nunavut)

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?
Crowfoot

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?
Kevin Sorenson (CPC)

6. Lowest % and a win?
Gary Lunn (CPC), 35%, Saanich—Gulf Islands

7. Closest riding
Kenora (arbitrary guess)

8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.
CPC: Alberta / N&L (unless NW Territories counts, in which case there)
LPC: N&L / Alberta (although PEI may be their best, too; I'm torn)
NDP: Nova Scotia / PEI
GPC: British Columbia / N&L
BQ: Quebec / Everywhere that isn't Quebec

----Random Bonus Questions---

[I'll do these later.]

I: Predict the number of Ministers to lose their seats

II: Predict the biggest name to be defeated

III: Shock of the night?

IV: "Star" Candidate That Flopped Hardest? (aka. the Marc Garneau Prize)

[Хahar 🤔]

Alberta will be the best and worst province for the Grits?

[Hash]

Normally horrible at these (save, for, ironically, French by-elections)
 
1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).
Con 125
Lib 95
Bloc 52
NDP 34
Ind 2

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.
Con 35
Lib 27
NDP 19
Bloc 10
Greens 9

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.
The highest % only, for now:
Con: Crowfoot
Lib: Scarborough—Rouge River
Bloc: Going to go with Repentigny again
NDP: St. John's East
Green: Oh dears. No clue at all.

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?
Crowfoot

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?
Kevin Sorenson (Con)

6. Lowest % and a win?
Gary Lunn, Conservative, Saanich-Gulf Islands.

7. Closest riding


8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.
Con: Alberta
Lib: PEI
NDP: Saskatchewan. I think.
Green: British Columbia

Con: Newfoundland
Lib: Alberta
NDP: PEI
Green: Newfoundland

[MaxQue]

1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).

Cons: 121
Libs: 90
BQ: 55
NDP: 40
Ind: 2

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.

Cons: 34
Libs: 30
NDP: 21
BQ: 9
Greens: 6

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.

Cons: 85/75 Crowfoot
Libs:  70/65 Mount Royal
NDP: 60/40  Winnipeg North
BQ: 60-45 La-Pointe-de-L'Île
Greens: 25 Central Nova

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?

Crowfoot

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?

Kevin Sorenson

6. Lowest % and a win?

Briony Penn, Saanich-Gulf Islands

7. Closest riding

Kenora

8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.

Cons: Alberta/Newfoundland and Labrador
Libs: Prince Edward Island/Alberta
NDP: Nova Scotia/Prince Edward Island
Greens: Alberta/Newfoundland and Labrador

----Random Bonus Questions---

I: Predict the number of Ministers to lose their seats

3 (Blackburn, Fortier, Lunn)

II: Predict the biggest name to be defeated

Justin Trudeau

III: Shock of the night?

Edmonton-Straconda going NDP.

IV: "Star" Candidate That Flopped Hardest? (aka. the Marc Garneau Prize)

Michael Fortier

[Harry Hayfield]

1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).
Con 127 Lib 89 Bloc 52 NDP 39 Ind 1

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.
Con 34% Lib 27% Bloc 10% NDP 19% Greens 9% Ind 1

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.
Crowfoot 78% Scarborough - Rouge River 62% Winnipeg North 60% Repentigny 60% Bruce - Grey - Owen Sound 24%

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?
Pass

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?
The Conservative candidate in Crowfoot

6. Lowest % and a win?
The Liberal candidate winning Hull-Aylmer with 29%

7. Closest riding
Pass

8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.
Pass
----Random Bonus Questions---

I: Predict the number of Ministers to lose their seats
Pass

II: Predict the biggest name to be defeated
Pass

III: Shock of the night?
A Green elected in an area where they have failed to win any seats up to that declaration

IV: "Star" Candidate That Flopped Hardest? (aka. the Marc Garneau Prize)
Pass

[Verily]

Alberta will be the best and worst province for the Grits?

Shoot, I just did worst. Best will be up momentarily.

[Hatman 🍁]

1. Predict the number of seats won by each of the Parties (Con, Lib, NDP, BQ, Green).

Cons: 123
Libs: 93
BQ: 53
NDP: 37
Ind: 2

2. Predict the % vote (national) polled by each of the Parties.

Cons: 35
Libs: 27
NDP: 19
Bloc: 10
Greens: 8
Others: 1

3. Predict the Highest % vote and Biggest % winning margin (if any) for each of the Parties.

Cons: Crowfoot, 80%
Libs: Scarborough-Rouge River, 62%
NDP: Winnipeg North, 57%
Greens: Central Nova, 30%
BQ: Repentigny, 62%

4. Which riding will have the biggest winning margin?
Crowfoot

5. Which candidate will poll the highest %?
Kevin Sorenson

6. Lowest % and a win?
Marcel Proulx

7. Closest riding
Kenora

8. Best and Worst province (in terms of % vote) for each of the Parties.
Cons: Best, Alberta; Worst, Quebec
Liberal: Best, PEI; Worst, Alberta
NDP: Best, Nova Scotia; Worst, PEI
Greens: Best, BC; Wost, Newfoundland and Labrador

----Random Bonus Questions---

I: Predict the number of Ministers to lose their seats
2 (if you include Fortier)

II: Predict the biggest name to be defeated
Elizabeth May

III: Shock of the night?
Earl is 100% correct with his predictions

IV: "Star" Candidate That Flopped Hardest?
Fortier

[Хahar 🤔]

III: Shock of the night?
Earl is 100% correct with his predictions

[The Vorlon]

Everybody is wrong...

A large last minute swing...  Be surprised... be very surprised..

[Harry Hayfield]

Everybody is wrong...A large last minute swing...  Be surprised... be very surprised..

In which direction? Lib to Con, Con to Lib, Con to Green, Lib to NDP?

[Hatman 🍁]

1990 style last minute NDP swing. Oooh exciting!