Official Potomac/Beltway Primary Discussion Thread (DEM)

[exopolitician]

MSNBC just said that the exit polls showed a high increase of first time voters in Virginia. Another good sign for Obama.

They also said there was a high turnout of women too....which could be a hinderance...not sure. Hes never really done that well with women.

[exopolitician]

Fox News is always less restrained than the others in giving out exit poll numbers like this before polls close:

http://thepage.time.com/potomac-primary-exit-poll-data-from-fox-news/

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Virginians arent racist...obviously

[exopolitician]

Well, polls close in half an hour, so we'll see soon enough if these exit polls are accurate.

Curious...how come Virginia polls close an hour early before Maryland and DC?

[exopolitician]

Pretty sure ive gotten 6 text messages from the Obama Campaign in the past 30 minutes telling me "its not too late...go vote GOGOGO!"......if only I could

[exopolitician]

Isn't Clinton's "Wait 'til Texas and Ohio" strategy looking too much like Rudy Giuliani's "Wait 'til Florida" strategy?

No.

Giuliani was stupid enough to wait through the two key momentum builders - Iowa and New Hampshire - then because of that made a half-arsed effort in MI - got obliterated in all three, then many voters realised that inevitable truth about a Giuliani candidacy - he was a one-trick pony, who was in many ways repellant to many primary voters. States wouldn't risk losing all influence if they didn't think being an early primary/caucus didn't matter. Momentum mattered - Giuliani sat on his hands and let McCain suck up his support.

If Clinton doesn't focus anywhere except OH and TX - then she's kidding herself. Obama has the lead in pledged delegates, he's got all the momentum and the money, she needs a win - just to steady the ship, if nothing else.

She seems to be skipping right over Wisconsin.

[exopolitician]

MSNBC calls Virginia "with a substantial margin..."

[exopolitician]

Split the white vote and got 90% of the black vote...good laaawd.

[exopolitician]

4% in Obama 64% to 35% Clinton

[exopolitician]

4% in Obama 64% to 35% Clinton

Is it possible for Obama to rival 70% tonight?

Would be nice...but I doubt it.

[exopolitician]

Maryland exit polls:

55% white
37% black

54% Protestant
22% Catholic
3% jewish

Union household:
27% yes
73% no

Change 58%
experience 22%
electability 10%
cares about "me" 8%

voting has been extended due to bad weather in Maryland as well.

[exopolitician]

Voting in Maryland has been extended to 9:30 eastern.

WHAT

NO

That means I'll be at an evening class when polls close.

I dont think this extends into DC....so atleast we'll have another result at 8 to keep us company during the wait.

btw yay at 1000th post

[exopolitician]

Voting in Maryland has been extended to 9:30 eastern.

WHAT

NO

That means I'll be at an evening class when polls close.

I dont think this extends into DC....so atleast we'll have another result at 8 to keep us company during the wait.

btw yay at 1000th post

Inclement weather caused the extension.

I know...but DC polls are still closing at 8pm. Unless I missed a statement stating otherwise.

[exopolitician]

IMHO, if its this big in Virginia I think Maryland is going to be ridiculous.

[exopolitician]

36% reporting

Obama 64.6%
Clinton 34.4%

I have no idea what just came in, but it loved itself some Obama.

I'm guessing it was a black area.  Don't expect 65% Obama to last.

Where are you getting your results?

[exopolitician]

Obama is winning my county [Hanover] with 41% in:

60% Obama
39% Clinton

[exopolitician]

Richmond is trickling in:

26% in

Obama: 77%
Clinton: 23%

[exopolitician]

Virginia Beach:

11% in

Obama: 62%
Clinton: 37%

[exopolitician]

48% in

Obama: 64%
Clinton: 35%

[exopolitician]

Hes in the upper 60s in Alexandria, Norfolk, and Virginia Beach and reaching almost 80% in Richmond. Roanoke hasnt come in yet.

[exopolitician]

Look at the Chesterfield Precincts....they all have Obama with huge numbers and ZERO for Clinton. Is it possible for the numbers for each individual precinct to be wrong?

[exopolitician]

http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/ reporting Mike Henry has quit Clinton campaign

Who's that?

Her deputy campaign manager.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2006/12/hillary_hires_henry.html

And slowly the Clinton Machine is malfunctioning and falling to peices. I think I love it.

[exopolitician]

Obama continues to hold a comfortable lead of 0% to Clintons trailing 0% with almost 0% reporting. Its a landslide.

[exopolitician]

Clinton is about to speak at an event where all of El Paso has turned up to hear her rant.

[exopolitician]

If Erc's count is right, Obama has a net lead of around 100 pledged delegates. Democrats Abroad should put it over 100. This is without Maryland or DC.

I posted in Walters thread:

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[exopolitician]

Hillary has a Mexican boy with her.  In a sombrero.  In El Paso.  While Spanish is spoken.

Guess which demographic she's courting!!!

Look at who is all behind her....hispanic women...