How will the GE effect the local races?
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  How will the GE effect the local races?
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Author Topic: How will the GE effect the local races?  (Read 2254 times)
Josh/Devilman88
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« on: February 17, 2008, 05:45:50 PM »

Say Obama win the nom will he be able to turn out new voters that could swing states for the Democrats?
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King
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« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2008, 08:06:39 PM »

I'm more of a Maytag man myself.

He'll turn out more younger voters who likely only care about the Presidential race and will likely vote Democrat straight down the ballot.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2008, 09:11:06 PM »

Gregoire may be able to thank Obama if she has a strong showing or even gets reelected in Washington.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2008, 10:51:01 PM »

If Obama wins the nom I think the dems will have a great year this year.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #4 on: February 17, 2008, 11:02:13 PM »

If Obama wins the nom I think the dems will have a great year this year.

Yep, if Democrats want to waste this once in a lifetime opportunity on a polarizing figure like Hillary, they deserve to lose. 
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2008, 04:35:17 AM »

Its not going to have much effect either way on Oklahoma considering their are no down-ballot races except Congressional and Senatorial and two Corporation Commission seats.  Those CC seats are held by Republicans currently, but they are endangered animals right now.  On the State level it is easy to see that Oklahoma is trending Democrat based on what happened in 2006, so I expect these two CC Republicans to be looking for a job pretty soon.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2008, 07:49:52 AM »

Eh, not much. Norwalk is pretty well set with it's incumbents, so I don't see any changes.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2008, 08:05:16 AM »

The only local race here is the mayoral election, which I doubt will be affected.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2008, 02:13:26 PM »

McCain landslide: Democrats win 35 of 40 State Senate seats in Massachusetts.
Obama landslide: Democrats win 35 of 40 State Senate seats in Massachusetts.

McCain landslide: Republicans win 21 of 160 State House seats in Massachusetts.
Obama landslide: Republicans win 18 of 160 State House seats in Massachusetts.
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socaldem
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« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2008, 04:12:11 PM »

If Obama is the nominee, I expect that Democrats wil do better across the board in congressional races. 

I think he helps Democratic candidates in the South and midwestern cities by boosting the black vote, particularly affecting:

MS-Sen, NC-Sen

LA-05, LA-04, MS-01, AL-02, OH-01, OH12 (possible sleeper upset), OH-15, NC-08, VA-02, VA-05, etc.

Of course the IL coattails may push IL-10 over the top and may even spark an IL-06 upset.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2008, 04:55:24 PM »

If Obama is the nominee, I expect that Democrats wil do better across the board in congressional races. 

I think he helps Democratic candidates in the South and midwestern cities by boosting the black vote, particularly affecting:

MS-Sen, NC-Sen

LA-05, LA-04, MS-01, AL-02, OH-01, OH12 (possible sleeper upset), OH-15, NC-08, VA-02, VA-05, etc.

Of course the IL coattails may push IL-10 over the top and may even spark an IL-06 upset.

He could definitely help in AL-3 which is about 33% black.  If the Democrats had a serious candidate there they might reduce Mike Rogers' usual 60%-39% margin. 
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CultureKing
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« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2008, 10:24:57 PM »

Gregoire may be able to thank Obama if she has a strong showing or even gets reelected in Washington.

Agreed, she was very smart in backing Obama, it earned her some brownie points.
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