TX-CNN/Opinion Research Corp.: Clinton 50%, Obama 48%
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  TX-CNN/Opinion Research Corp.: Clinton 50%, Obama 48%
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Author Topic: TX-CNN/Opinion Research Corp.: Clinton 50%, Obama 48%  (Read 1831 times)
Middle-aged Europe
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« on: February 18, 2008, 04:22:44 PM »

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/18/poll.texas/index.html
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2008, 04:26:45 PM »

what
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2008, 04:27:53 PM »

Now, that can't be right Tongue
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exopolitician
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2008, 04:28:10 PM »

Im indifferent about these results...
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Verily
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2008, 04:46:16 PM »

I'd love it to be true... but CNN doesn't have the best polling track record.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2008, 04:47:29 PM »

Maybe Rasmussen was an outlier. After giving us eight years of Bush, Texas owes us this much.
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2008, 04:47:56 PM »

Clinton will claim a huge victory when she wins Texas by 2 points, but loses the delegates.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2008, 04:55:41 PM »

also

McCain 55
Huckabee 32
Paul 11


5 different candidates have been shown to have leads in TX at some point in at least one poll (Giuliani, McCain, Thompson, Romney, Huckabee)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2008, 04:56:29 PM »

Texas certainly is a better bet for Obama than Ohio.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #9 on: February 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM »

Clinton will claim a huge victory when she wins Texas by 2 points, but loses the delegates.

Of course she will.  See Nevada.
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #10 on: February 18, 2008, 05:00:18 PM »

I doubt it's this close yet, however, I think it is probably closer than the Rasmussen poll. I say she leads by 5-10% yet.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #11 on: February 18, 2008, 05:02:07 PM »

It's impossible to know the quality (or lack thereof) of the Democratic numbers without a race/class breakdown.  That goes for most of the numbers posted so far.  I'm expecting to see certain things in the numbers - if I don't (a la ARG), toss the poll.

The McCain/Huckabee numbers are completely wrong - no way McCain wins Texas by 23% - if he wins it by 10%+, it'll be a very strong showing.  That doesn't mean the Dem numbers are wrong, however.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: February 18, 2008, 06:42:04 PM »

Well... if this poll is true...

Grin
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« Reply #13 on: February 18, 2008, 07:27:00 PM »

Oh....yes!
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #14 on: February 19, 2008, 06:01:01 AM »

I agree with Sam Spade (though what do I know?!) that McCain having over 50% of the vote and a 23% lead over Huckabee seems unrealistic.  I suspected for a long time that Huckabee would be able to win Texas - while that is now in question, I should think it will be as close as Wisconsin is - and one poll shows McCain leading Huckabee there by 50%-39%.  Texas is made for Huckabee, but should be a very interesting Primary night. 

Exciting numbers for the Democrats though.  I actually think Clinton is probably ahead now by something like 47%-38% - but the race will definitely having tightened by 4th March. 
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