Mary Landrieu?

[phk]

Will she still hold onto her seat?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Maybe? John Kennedy's fundraising has been pretty anemic so far, which is probably the only advantage she has now.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Probably; she'll win by a very narrow margin, 5-10,000 votes.

[Brittain33]

Will she still hold onto her seat?

She's not a politician I would bet against, particularly not in a decent Democratic year.

[memphis]

I think she's done.

[Adlai Stevenson]

The situation in Louisiana is going to be fascinating this year.  Not only is there the obviously close race between Landrieu and Kennedy, but there are also the two open-seat contests in LA-4 and LA-6.  I think Landrieu's victory, or rather probably Kennedy's inability to defeat her, may rise from what goes on in these contests.  Of course, if McCain expands Bush's 56%-42% margin from 2004, as he very well may do, Landrieu's situation becomes harder. 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I like the idea of the Landrieu family getting another kick in the face. I don't really like the idea of the Republican Party gaining the seat though. Drat.

[Sam Spade]

I like the idea of the Landrieu family getting another kick in the face. I don't really like the idea of the Republican Party gaining the seat though. Drat.

Decisions, decisions...

[JSojourner]

I hope she survives.  If I understand correctly, doesn't she need to break 50% in the general to avoid a runoff a month later? 

[Aizen]

I would not shed a tear if Landrieu gets booted

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I hope she survives.  If I understand correctly, doesn't she need to break 50% in the general to avoid a runoff a month later? 

No, they changed things.

[Spaghetti Cat]

She'll barely survive

[JSojourner]

I would not shed a tear if Landrieu gets booted

Even if we get another David Vitter? 

[Lief 🗽]

Landrieu is a horrible person, but unfortunately she's better than whatever right-wing fascist the Louisiana GOP would put up.

[JSojourner]

Landrieu is a horrible person, but unfortunately she's better than whatever right-wing fascist the Louisiana GOP would put up.

We'll have to tolerate conservative Democrats for the foreseeable future.  And at least they won't vote for Mitch McConnell when caucusing.

[HardRCafé]

This is her last campaign.

[Brandon H]

The situation in Louisiana is going to be fascinating this year.  Not only is there the obviously close race between Landrieu and Kennedy, but there are also the two open-seat contests in LA-4 and LA-6.  I think Landrieu's victory, or rather probably Kennedy's inability to defeat her, may rise from what goes on in these contests.  Of course, if McCain expands Bush's 56%-42% margin from 2004, as he very well may do, Landrieu's situation becomes harder. 

4 is going to be vacant. 6 (and 1) have special elections with the primaries on the 8th. I think it's safe to say whoever wins will seek re-election during the regular election.

Not sure about Landrieu and Kennedy yet. Too early to say.