Wisconsin & Hawaii Democratic Results Discussion

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MSNBC is about to start releasing some basic exit poll numbers.

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Top concerns for those voting in the WI Democratic Primary:

Economy 43%

War In Iraq 29%

Healthcare 25%

Income Levels:

Over $50,000 59%

Under $50,000 41%

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What are the chances that Obama wins Catholics by more than 5%?

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For the benefit of those of us who failed maths at school*, what would that be expected to translate as in terms of overall numbers?

*almost

Not enough information there to say, but everything I'm seeing indicates a percentage margin of 15%+.

If they are actually accurate...

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i remember on super tuesday when someone on here posted a leaked exit poll from massachusetts that had clinton ahead by only 2 points.

Yeah, you really pwned all the Obama/Paul Democrats that night Walter.

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It looks like the exit polls for MO also had Obama up very narrowly (by just 1 point) among women:

http://election.cbsnews.com/campaign2008/exitPoll.shtml?state=MO&race=P&jurisdiction=0&party=D

and he only won the state by the narrowest of margins.  But I think the exit polls for MO were just plain wrong, as they appear to give a 5 point lead in the "under $50,000" category and a 14 point lead in the "over $50,000" category....which clearly doesn't square with the closeness of the final result.

Wasn't there supposedly no gender gap according to the MO exit polls? I would say that is fairly hard to believe.

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So does anyone think they will call the race as soon as the polls close?

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Are CNN and Fox going to cover Hawaii live? It looks like MSNBC isn't going to.

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Wolf looks pretty sad...

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I'm pretty surprised by the margin. I was thinking it would be more like 10%-12%.

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The WI exit polls are changing to reflect a wider Obama victory.

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Hawaii in 4 minutes..... Obama-

Damn...

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Update:

Obama: 5.436 - 74%
Clinton: 1.875 - 25%

Oh noes! Clinton is closing in on us.

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Hawaii with 51% reporting:

Obama 76%
Clinton 23%

lol.