Wisconsin & Hawaii Democratic Results Discussion (user search)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin & Hawaii Democratic Results Discussion  (Read 24761 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: February 19, 2008, 09:06:58 PM »

Clinton wins White Democrats with only 51%.  Youch.

She got the same in California.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2008, 09:10:17 PM »

lets count some votes before gloating.

if she loses 55-43...that is survivable.

Clinton needs to start winning by margins like that to have a chance at the pledged delegates.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2008, 09:14:26 PM »


Haha, never trust results with 0% in. Often California will have some right-wing part of Orange county report first. I remember that after they called California for Gore, Bush was up something like 20 points in the first results.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2008, 09:17:01 PM »

I think they changed the numbers a bit. Huge gender gap, Clinton up 3 points with women, and Obama up 34 points with men. A 37 point gender gap.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2008, 09:18:20 PM »


Cheesy Wisconsin. And by their exit poll, it looks like insignificant Wisconsin.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2008, 09:20:09 PM »

MSNBC just called it for Obama and interrupted the end of McCain's speech to do so

The Clinton News Network is still holding out.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2008, 09:25:00 PM »

If Obama wins Hawaii and Democrats Abroad (should be announced sometime later this month), he'll have 11 straight wins. As for the Washington primary, I don't think CNN is going to bother to report the results.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2008, 09:30:23 PM »

6 out of 8 districts have an even number of delegates, so I wouldn't expect a large net lead in delegates, perhaps 4 or 5 for Obama.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2008, 09:40:52 PM »

Does Clinton get to have another rally later tonight where she ignores Hawaii?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,749


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2008, 03:48:06 AM »

Hawaii has been called for Obama. How does this shocking development affect the race?
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