Mississippi Senate 2008: Shows (D) exits race, leaving it Musgrove vs. Wicker
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  Mississippi Senate 2008: Shows (D) exits race, leaving it Musgrove vs. Wicker
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Author Topic: Mississippi Senate 2008: Shows (D) exits race, leaving it Musgrove vs. Wicker  (Read 3280 times)
Brittain33
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« Reply #25 on: February 21, 2008, 12:08:29 PM »

Whether or not they won races when they were incumbents in the 90s is not what I'm getting at. It's almost impossible to win open seat races in safe states for the other party absent truly exceptional circumstances. You know this.

While I agree with this to a great extent, you wonder how exceptional circumstances have to be for it to happen twice in the same year (Nebraska and Rhode Island, 2000). Chafee's circumstances were pretty exceptional, but Nelson's?
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Jake
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« Reply #26 on: February 21, 2008, 01:39:26 PM »

Nelson was an extremely popular and successful Governor, had run for Senate four years earlier, and far out spent his opponent, a rather extreme conservative Don Stenberg. Chafee of course was the liberal son of a popular Senator who had a year of incumbency when elected. Musgrove enjoys only the notoreity of having served a term as Governor before being defeated.
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« Reply #27 on: February 21, 2008, 02:45:36 PM »

On February 21, 1999, counterparts of Jake were proclaiming that Musgrove had absolutely no chance of beating Mike Parker for the governorship.
Counterparts of me would point out that Musgrove was the only candidate who had previously won a statewide race, and Parker was just a Congressman who had little recognition or popularity outside of his district, and that because of this Musgrove had a shot at winning.
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« Reply #28 on: February 21, 2008, 02:49:30 PM »

On February 21, 1999, counterparts of Jake were proclaiming that Musgrove had absolutely no chance of beating Mike Parker for the governorship.
Counterparts of me would point out that Musgrove was the only candidate who had previously won a statewide race, and Parker was just a Congressman who had little recognition or popularity outside of his district, and that because of this Musgrove had a shot at winning.

If Senate races and Gubernatorial races were comparable, Republicans would have terrific shots at winning Senate seats in California, Vermont, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island.
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Jake
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« Reply #29 on: February 21, 2008, 02:52:41 PM »

You know Governor seats are easier to win than Federal seats. Don't play dumb.
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