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Author Topic: Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama now ahead in Texas AND Ohio  (Read 695 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: March 03, 2008, 01:03:43 am »
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Texas

Obama: 47%
Clinton: 44%

Ohio

Obama: 47%
Clinton: 45%

The Democratic Party survey in Ohio included 761 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points. The Texas survey of Democrats included 748 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. Both surveys were conducted Feb. 29 to March 2, 2008.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1460
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.23, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2008, 01:04:37 am »
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Come on Zogby, NAIL this one !
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Lief
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« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2008, 01:05:28 am »
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Will there be another tracking poll tomorrow night?

Hopefully this isn't a non-significant blip.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2008, 01:24:41 am »
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The reason Zogby effed up in California is because they underestimated Hispanic turnout and overestimated the percent of the Hispanic vote that the 18-29 demographic would make up. They also overestimated African-Americans.

It seems like they've resolved these problems though, but if they haven't... long night for Obama supporters
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2008, 01:26:22 am »
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Sam Spade has made the argument that Zogby sees trends and runs wild with them, massaging the numbers to exacerbate trends. So I wouldn't be surprised to see Obama +10 in Ohio from Zogby tomorrow, and I wouldn't take it too seriously.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2008, 02:58:06 am »
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Err... good? We'll see soon enough.
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