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Author Topic: OH PrimD: Survey USA: Clinton 54, Obama 44  (Read 1256 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: March 03, 2008, 12:26:38 pm »
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New Poll: Ohio President by Survey USA on 2008-03-03

Summary:
Clinton:
54%
Obama:
44%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2008, 01:32:36 pm »
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SO MUCH CONFUSION!!!!!!


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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2008, 03:12:39 pm »
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There's not really much confusion to me, unless your name is Zogby.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2008, 03:23:30 pm »
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Wait: Could it be their second Missouri ?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2008, 03:30:41 pm »
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Wait: Could it be their second Missouri ?

Of course it could be - but Missouri is a different state than Ohio in more ways than one.  Besides, look where the campaigns are today...
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2008, 05:08:41 pm »
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Wait: Could it be their second Missouri ?

Of course it could be - but Missouri is a different state than Ohio in more ways than one.  Besides, look where the campaigns are today...

Texas?
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'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
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« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2008, 05:22:47 pm »
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There's not really much confusion to me, unless your name is Zogby.
Not much confusion? PPP just released "Clinton +6". That sounds pretty confusing to me, especially the day before the election.
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“The meaning of life is not to be discovered only after death in some hidden, mysterious realm; on the contrary, it can be found by eating the succulent fruit of the Tree of Life and by living in the here and now as fully and creatively as we can”

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2008, 06:23:10 pm »
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Wait: Could it be their second Missouri ?

Of course it could be - but Missouri is a different state than Ohio in more ways than one.  Besides, look where the campaigns are today...

Texas?

Yep.  Therefore, I would conclude that's where the closer race is. 

Plus, voting bloc turnout is much more important there than it is in Ohio.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2008, 06:24:37 pm »
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There's not really much confusion to me, unless your name is Zogby.
Not much confusion? PPP just released "Clinton +6". That sounds pretty confusing to me, especially the day before the election.

Clinton +10 and Clinton +6 could easily be within MOE of each other.  They are the same, as far as I'm concerned.

Clinton +6 and Obama +2 - highly, highly unlikely.
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MSUfan
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« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2008, 06:28:10 pm »
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The last SUSA poll in Texas has Obama up 49-48%.
Their turnout model is 17% Black and 32% Hispanic. A worse case scenario for Obama as far as I see it.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2008, 04:28:42 pm »
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All hail SUSA - in Ohio at least.

Their Texas poll would have been on the money too, but they underestimated Hillary's white vote %.  Oh well...
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2008, 05:49:59 pm »
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Well, SUSA are good. We know that.
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« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2008, 06:05:25 pm »
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Well, SUSA are good. We know that.

Usually. Every now and then they do something that just blows it big time, like when they had Steele leading in Maryland and no one else did.
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« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2008, 06:54:08 pm »
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They messed MO and AL up really bad this year too. Still when they nail something, they really nail it. Exact percentages here and in California.
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #14 on: March 07, 2008, 04:24:03 pm »
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They messed MO and AL up really bad this year too. Still when they nail something, they really nail it. Exact percentages here and in California.
A good pollster should be wrong 5% of the time.

Although I would argue for including more than just the final polls as the universe.
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