TX. PrimD: Rasmussen - Obama +1
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  TX. PrimD: Rasmussen - Obama +1
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Author Topic: TX. PrimD: Rasmussen - Obama +1  (Read 1938 times)
Ben.
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« on: March 03, 2008, 01:38:29 PM »
« edited: March 03, 2008, 01:47:37 PM by Ben. »

Effectively a tie…

Obama: 48%
Clinton: 47%
Undecided: 5%

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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2008, 02:20:57 PM »

sh!tf%ckd#mn
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agcatter
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« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2008, 02:26:14 PM »

Survey USA is the same.  Obama by .6 of a point.  I'd call that a tie.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2008, 02:52:12 PM »


Not looking good for Obama, but stranger things have happened this year. What happens in the unlikely event of Obama winning Vermont by 30%, Rhode Island by 1% and winning 55% of Texas' delegates, while losing the popular vote by 2% and losing Ohio by 5-10% ? Will Hillary stay in, or is she out ?

BTW: I donīt understand why Obama wonīt release his February fundraising numbers. On March 5 it is too late for a boost ...
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2008, 03:12:07 PM »


Not looking good for Obama, but stranger things have happened this year. What happens in the unlikely event of Obama winning Vermont by 30%, Rhode Island by 1% and winning 55% of Texas' delegates, while losing the popular vote by 2% and losing Ohio by 5-10% ? Will Hillary stay in, or is she out ?

BTW: I donīt understand why Obama wonīt release his February fundraising numbers. On March 5 it is too late for a boost ...

If Hillary wins Texas and Ohio, she'll stay in regardless of what happens in the Texas caucus. If she loses either one, the pressure for her to drop out will sharpen.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2008, 05:05:07 PM »

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Obama DOES NOT Have to win Texas and Ohio. He only has to keep it close. Anything less than a 10% blowout in BOTH states is an Obama victory. Period.

Hillary! is the one on the ropes. Obama is the nominee if Hillary! doesn't take both by a significant margin. Even then, she still has only an outside shot.

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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2008, 07:43:09 PM »

Why hasn't this one (or the SUSA one) been uploaded to the database?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2008, 07:54:38 PM »

I thought there were signs that young Latinos were moving Obama's way. What's up?

Are their elders threatening them with the switch or something if they don't fall into line and support Clinton?

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Ben.
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« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2008, 02:37:45 AM »

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Obama DOES NOT Have to win Texas and Ohio. He only has to keep it close. Anything less than a 10% blowout in BOTH states is an Obama victory. Period.

Hillary! is the one on the ropes. Obama is the nominee if Hillary! doesn't take both by a significant margin. Even then, she still has only an outside shot.



Obama failing to win TX or OH is a problem for him in that this was a chance to wrap up the nomination... for Clinton its a question of survival.
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