Mississippi results thread

[Flying Dog]

Results seem to have stalled at 92%. The 13% in Hinds along with all of Washington Co. should get Obama to a 60-38 victory. Night time.

[Sam Spade]

My present results for CD-01 are 51,169 Clinton to 48,663 Obama, not counting the tiny sliver of Winston (only 23% in).

The counties left are Tishomingo (Clinton), Prentiss (Clinton), Panola (Obama), Choctaw (Obama slightly - small), Clay (Obama).

Barring something weird, I'd predict Clinton takes CD-01.

I've got similar, 51204 - 49046 at a first glance.  Final count, 19 - 14 Obama, not unexpected.

What was the distribution in CD-02 and statewide, Erc.

Which parts of Marion and Jasper County are in CD-03.  It'll be a razor-tight Obama win, if my math is correct, but he's probably going to need those two slivers.

Ok, now I know what to ask.  This is really to anyone.

Marion - 2,234 Obama, 1,788 Clinton (half of this is in CD-03 - is it white or black or mixed)
Jasper - 2,774 Obama, 1,172 Clinton (half of this is in CD-03 - black CD, but is the part white or black or mixed)

Present results (minus the parts of Marion and Jasper) CD-03
38,956 Clinton
38,447 Obama

What's left:
Perry 0% (not counted - should act like Greene County, similar populations, slightly fewer blacks)
Jackson 93% (55% Obama, 43% Clinton, about 14,500 votes so far, but who knows which racial group is last)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

CNN just reported it at 59%  for Obamawith 91% in.  They give Obama Six net delegates.  I think it's a +12 for elected delegates for Clinton for the month

LOL.

Ohio +9 Hillary
Rhode Island +5 Hillary
Vermont +3 Obama
Texas +4 Hillary
Texas Caucus +9 Obama
Wyoming +2 Obama
Mississippi +6 Obama

+2 Obama overall.

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama should break 60% easily enough. Most of Clinton's counties are 100% in, as are his for that matter.

But there are 6 counties with nothing in yet:

1) Perry (2000 census): White 76.1% [pop: 12,138]
2) Kemper                    : African American 58.13% [pop: 10,453]
3) Washington             : African American 64.57% [pop: 62,977]
4) Leflore                     : African American 67.73% [pop: 37,947]
5) Noxubee                  : African American 69.30% [pop: 12.548]
6) Claiborne                 : African American 84.11% [pop: 11,831]

Dave

[WalterMitty]

CNN just reported it at 59%  for Obamawith 91% in.  They give Obama Six net delegates.  I think it's a +12 for elected delegates for Clinton for the month

LOL.

Ohio +9 Hillary
Rhode Island +5 Hillary
Vermont +3 Obama
Texas +4 Hillary
Texas Caucus +9 Obama
Wyoming +2 Obama
Mississippi +6 Obama

+2 Obama overall.

how is that good news?

your hero obama could have easily put hillary away by winning texas.

he didnt.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

CNN just reported it at 59%  for Obamawith 91% in.  They give Obama Six net delegates.  I think it's a +12 for elected delegates for Clinton for the month

LOL.

Ohio +9 Hillary
Rhode Island +5 Hillary
Vermont +3 Obama
Texas +4 Hillary
Texas Caucus +9 Obama
Wyoming +2 Obama
Mississippi +6 Obama

+2 Obama overall.

how is that good news?

your hero obama could have easily put hillary away by winning texas.

he didnt.

It's too bad he couldn't finish her off early, but he still has a clear lead and she can't finish him off.

[Alcon]

Washington in, 80-20 Obama

[TheresNoMoney]

how is that good news?

your hero obama could have easily put hillary away by winning texas.

he didnt.

He lost the primary narrowly and won the caucus handily. He ended up with more delegates out of Texas than Hillary.

[Sam Spade]

Jefferson County, where there are usually more trial lawyers per capita that try cases down there than anywhere else in the world with the poorest black people I've ever seen

88% Obama, 11% Clinton

[Torie]

Here is what my spread sheet looks for CD-4

clarke      972   1,960
wayne      1815   2,050
jones      4474   5,388
wayne      1,977   1765
Forrest    5,114   3529
Perry      1072   736
greene      711   1,149
pearl river      507   2,750
stone      890   1,293
george      484   1,632
Hancock      962   2,115
harrison      9,762   8,070
jackson      8,029   6,235
         
         
      36,769   38,672
         
marion      2234   1788
Jasper      2774   1172

[Alcon]

Clarke is 1,960-972, Torie

[Democratic Hawk]

Washington in, 80-20 Obama

Kemper in, 78-20 Obama

[Democratic Hawk]

Perry in, Clinton 59-41

[Torie]

Clarke is 1,960-972, Torie

Fixed it and some other stuff and picked up a few more votes. Obama will win CD-4.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Only two counties out, both supermajority black. Obama wins over 60%. My prediction was right and I was right to make the last minute change.

[Democratic Hawk]

Leflore in, Obama 79-19

[Sam Spade]

Here is what my spread sheet looks for CD-4

clarke      972   1,960
wayne      1815   2,050
jones      4474   5,388
wayne      1,977   1765
farrewst   5,114   3529
Perry         
greene      711   1,149
pearl river      507   2,750
stone      890   1,293
george      484   1,632
Hancock      962   2,115
harrison      9,762   8,070
jackson      8,029   6,235
         
         
      35,697   37,936
         
marion      2234   1788
Jasper      2774   1172

My present numbers minus Marion and Jasper (which are only part) show

Clinton Obama
911   1673 (Clarke)
5388   4474 (Jones)
1815   2050 (Wayne)
3213   1943 (Lamar)
3584   5552 (Forrest)
1,072   736 (Perry)
1149   711 (Greene)
2750   1507 (Pearl River)
1293   890 (Stone)
1632   484 (George)
2836   1255 (Hancock)
8070   9762 (Harrison)
6315   8146 (Jackson -93%)

40,028 39,183

[Eraserhead]

My prediction was basically dead on (61%-37%). I'm getting pretty good at this.

[Democratic Hawk]

Perry in, Clinton 59-41

CNN did report it in, but, seemingly, it's not anymore

[Democratic Hawk]

Noxubee in, Obama 80-12

[Torie]

Here is another attempt. It does seem well tight.

clarke      972   1,960
wayne      1815   2,050
jones      4474   5,388
wayne      2,050   1815
Forrest      5,552   3584
Perry      736   1072
greene      711   1,149
pearl river   1,507   2,750
stone      890   1,293
george      484   1,632
Hancock      1,255   2,836
harrison      9,762   8,070
jackson      8,146   6,315
         
         
      38,354   39,914
         
marion      2234   1788
Jasper      2774   1172

[Sam Spade]

Well, I'm stuttering through the precinct numbers in Jasper County, but I suspect there will be enough there, with probably what's left in Jackson to give Obama the win in CD-04.  But it's going to be close, obviously.

[Person Man]

60-38 - That's the same number in Wyoming. This is about what I expected in Mississippi.

[Sam Spade]

Here is another attempt. It does seem well tight.

clarke      972   1,960
wayne      1815   2,050
jones      4474   5,388
wayne      2,050   1815
Forrest      5,114   3529
Perry      736   1072
greene      711   1,149
pearl river   1,507   2,750
stone      890   1,293
george      484   1,632
Hancock      1,255   2,836
harrison      9,762   8,070
jackson      8,146   6,315
         
         
      37,916   39,859
         
marion      2234   1788
Jasper      2774   1172

You have Clarke switched around (they changed the numbers on me) and Forrest is 5552 to 3584

[Sam Spade]

New correct CD-04 numbers (although they removed Perry again???)

40,089 Clinton
39,470 Obama

Jackson still part out and I have to figure out Jasper.  Marion may be a wash if I've got the precincts down correctly.