Mississippi results thread

[7,052,770]

Woah, this makes no sense for Noxubee:

 John McCain 44.04%
 Fred Thompson 11.44%
 Tom Tancredo 9.73%
 Mitt Romney 9.00%
 Ron Paul 8.27%
 Mike Huckabee 5.84%
 Alan Keyes 5.60%
 Duncan Hunter 3.89%
 Rudolph W. Giuliani 2.19%


Is this Tancredo's highest county %?  How about Keyes?  Hell, Hunter's?

[Erc]

Woah, this makes no sense for Noxubee:

 John McCain 44.04%
 Fred Thompson 11.44%
 Tom Tancredo 9.73%
 Mitt Romney 9.00%
 Ron Paul 8.27%
 Mike Huckabee 5.84%
 Alan Keyes 5.60%
 Duncan Hunter 3.89%
 Rudolph W. Giuliani 2.19%


Is this Tancredo's highest county %?  How about Keyes?  Hell, Hunter's?

I believe Alcon called them up to find out what was going on, and apparently it's not a typo.  They have no clue, either.  Final results from Noxubee haven't been certified yet, though I'd like to see them when they are.

[platypeanArchcow]

Is this Tancredo's highest county %?  How about Keyes?  Hell, Hunter's?

Hunter got negligibly more in Imperial County.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Can someone explain to me why black turnout seems to have been so low, only making 50% of the electorate and only 2% more than the white vote - was it the presence of crossover Republicans that reduced it?  Black turnout was higher in South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi - states with lower black populations - can someone explain? 

[Sam Spade]

Can someone explain to me why black turnout seems to have been so low, only making 50% of the electorate and only 2% more than the white vote - was it the presence of crossover Republicans that reduced it?  Black turnout was higher in South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi - states with lower black populations - can someone explain? 

Black turnout was lower, per se (with the exception of Jackson, I think).  But higher white crossover was the main reason behind the numbers.

[Smash255]

Can someone explain to me why black turnout seems to have been so low, only making 50% of the electorate and only 2% more than the white vote - was it the presence of crossover Republicans that reduced it?  Black turnout was higher in South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi - states with lower black populations - can someone explain? 

Black turnout was lower, per se (with the exception of Jackson, I think).  But higher white crossover was the main reason behind the numbers.

IIRC the weather in Mississippi wasn't the greatest.  Could that have had an impact??  Mississippi as a whole is quite poor, especially blacks in Mississippi.  Many people likely don't have access to cars. 

Jackson may have had higher turnout with it being a city where the population is more concentrated and likely having precincts within decent walking distance.  The rural areas likely had areas where the precincts were more spread out making it more difficult to get there by walking especially on a rainy day.

[Torie]

By my back of the envelop calculations (it could be off by a few votes), Obama carried the 4th CD portion of Marion by 624 votes, or larger than his margin in the county of 460 votes (Clinton carried the 3rd CD portion of the county), so Obama has a win of the 4th CD.

[Erc]

By my back of the envelop calculations (it could be off by a few votes), Obama carried the 4th CD portion of Marion by 624 votes, or larger than his margin in the county of 460 votes (Clinton carried the 3rd CD portion of the county), so Obama has a win of the 4th CD.

Yup.  Marion was apparently split up the exact opposite way than what Clinton needed.  With Marion reporting, all that's needed now is Jones county (plus a breakdown in Morris precinct in Marion county, which is apparently split over 2 CDs [Obama won the precinct 277-166]).

Clinton is down 1848 votes in CD 4 at the moment.  She has a 914 vote lead in Jones county (which is split with CD 3) and a 111 vote deficit in Morris precinct.  So, barring some feat of gerrymandering of Jones county, Obama's got CD 4.