Zogby: McCain/Nader-Surge !!!

[Tender Branson]

McCain: 44%
Obama: 39%
Nader: 5%
Undecided: 11%

McCain: 45%
Clinton: 39%
Nader: 6%
Undecided: 11%

In the McCain-Clinton-Nader match-up, McCain leads mainly because of a significant advantage among independents. Among those voters, he wins support from 45%, compared to 28% for Clinton and 15% for Nader. McCain wins 79% support from Republicans, while Clinton wins 75% support from Democrats.

Among men, McCain leads 51% to 33% for Clinton. Among women, Clinton leads, 45% to 40% for McCain. Nader wins 8% among men and 3% among women.

In the McCain-Obama-Nader match-up, the independent candidate is having the same effect. Nader wins 15% support among political independents nationwide.

Among men, McCain leads Obama 48% to 34%, while Obama holds a slim 43% to 41% edge over McCain among women. Nader wins 6% among men and 4% among women.

The telephone survey of 1,001 likely voters nationwide was conducted by live operators calling from Zogby’s call center in Upstate New York on March 13-14, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1467

[There Are Some Remedies Worse Than The Disease]

Nader: 5%
Nader: 6%

LOL!

[Meeker]

Two theories:

1) Zogby sucks

2) We're at the height of intra-party Democratic polarization. I'm sure there are a lot of Obama supporters who when they hear the only options of "McCain, Clinton, Nader" they're going to go with Nader simply because he's the only other option and they hate both McCain and Clinton so much right now. Same with the Clinton supporters in the McCain/Obama match-up. By the time the GE rolls around (and Nader only gets on the ballot in 20 something states) his numbers will drop to 2004 levels.

[Tender Branson]

We're at the height of intra-party Democratic polarization.

Wait a few months, this will only get worse ...

[Meeker]

We're at the height of intra-party Democratic polarization.

Wait a few months, this will only get worse ...

Ok, current height

[Ben.]

Not unsurprising... Nader polled much stronger in early 04 then he achived at the election, and this time there is a real chance that a massive section of the Democrats are going to be at best unenthusiastic with their nominee and at worst totally alienated, at the same time most Dems arent going to be too worried at the prospect of a President McCain... and thats before you factor in Indies and moderate-to-conservative Dems opting for McCain over Democrats ravaged by inter-party divisions.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Nader: 5%
Nader: 6%

LOL!

^^^^^

[Democratic Hawk]

Nader: 5%
Nader: 6%

LOL!

^^^^^

Perhaps he's getting the Ron Paul anti-establishment vote

Dave

[agcatter]

The return of planet Zogby

[Gustaf]

To be fair to Zogby, this is more the electorate than it is them. Third-party candidates almost always poll higher than they do on election day. This is partly because people who dislike both parties/candidates will say that they'll vote 3rd party but they don't do it in the end.

[Democratic Hawk]

To be fair to Zogby, this is more the electorate than it is them. Third-party candidates almost always poll higher than they do on election day. This is partly because people who dislike both parties/candidates will say that they'll vote 3rd party but they don't do it in the end.

Do you know what third parties are in the US, Gustav? A bloody nuisance

Dave

[Sasquatch]

Go Nader!