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Author Topic: 10% National Swings  (Read 3737 times)
Kuu ülevaade olulisematest
Xahar
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« on: March 16, 2008, 01:27:14 pm »
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This is a totally useless excercise that popped into my head after I did a '72 map with a 10% national swing to McGovern.

2004, 10% to Kerry:



428-110

2004, 10% to Bush:



523-15

2000, 10% to Gore:



509-29

2000, 10% to Bush:



498-40
« Last Edit: March 16, 2008, 02:09:19 pm by Vice-Chairman Xahar »Logged
Quote from: Sibboleth on February 28, 2009, 04:08:37 pm
I'm not sure if this new tendency to appeal to the apparent inherent evil of Xahar in all things even remotely related to forum policing or this damn game is especially helpful.
Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2008, 02:04:55 pm »
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Nor would a 10% swing in WA make it >60 Bush.  I assume you're just adding 10 percentage points to their vote share, right?  That's actually a 20% swing.
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n/c
Kuu ülevaade olulisematest
Xahar
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« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2008, 02:09:43 pm »
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Quote from: Alcon on March 16, 2008, 02:04:55 pm
Nor would a 10% swing in WA make it >60 Bush.  I assume you're just adding 10 percentage points to their vote share, right?  That's actually a 20% swing.

I was working pretty fast, and made a mistake.
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Quote from: Sibboleth on February 28, 2009, 04:08:37 pm
I'm not sure if this new tendency to appeal to the apparent inherent evil of Xahar in all things even remotely related to forum policing or this damn game is especially helpful.
GPORTER
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« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2008, 07:55:13 pm »
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Plus 10% to Dole and minus 10% for Clinton.
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George Deukmjican will become to next President of the United States. You must read it to believe it.

Duekmjican: 287
Bradley: 241
Paul: 0

"So, I leave you all tonight with a full heart and a fervent prayer that we will meet again and we will meet often in this land where miracles are always happening, where every day is a new beginning and every life a blessing from God.

So I want to say thanks to each one of you here. Thank y
Iosif is a COTHO
Mango
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« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2008, 10:49:01 pm »
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10% to Dukakis (i.e +5 for Dukakis, -5 for Bush)



Dukakis: 280
Bush: 258





10% to Mondale



Reagan: 418
Mondale: 120
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Iosif is a COTHO
Mango
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« Reply #5 on: March 16, 2008, 11:02:34 pm »
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10% to Carter 1980 (-3.5 Reagan, -1,5 Anderson, +5 Carter)



Carter: 283
Reagan: 255


If you leave out Anderson and make it a straight swing against Reagan of 10, Carter gains Connecticut and Oregon.


10% to McGovern



Nixon: 492
McGovern: 46
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Iosif is a COTHO
Mango
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« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2008, 11:13:06 pm »
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10% to Humphrey (+5 Humphrey, -4 Nixon, -1 Humphrey) (In Deep South, -3 Nixon, -2 Wallace)



10% to Goldwater



Johnson: 440
Goldwater: 98
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Senator Ben
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« Reply #7 on: March 16, 2008, 11:53:10 pm »
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1960 (+5 Kennedy, -5 Nixon)

Kennedy: 469
Nixon: 68
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Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2008, 01:20:38 am »
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1940: Roosevelt/Wallace (D) vs. Willkie/McNary (R) 10% to Willkie



Wendell Willkie (R): 397 EV
Franklin D. Roosevelt (D): 134 EV
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Here's to the State of Richard Nixon

Some things are better left covered up.
Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2008, 02:05:39 am »
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1936: Roosevelt/Garner (D) vs. Landon/Knox (R): 10% to Landon



Franklin D. Roosevelt (D): 300 EV
Alf Landon (R): 231 EV
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Here's to the State of Richard Nixon

Some things are better left covered up.
GPORTER
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2008, 11:31:29 am »
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A squeaker of a reelection victory for Hoover

Franklin Roosevelt: 261
Herbert Hoover: 270
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George Deukmjican will become to next President of the United States. You must read it to believe it.

Duekmjican: 287
Bradley: 241
Paul: 0

"So, I leave you all tonight with a full heart and a fervent prayer that we will meet again and we will meet often in this land where miracles are always happening, where every day is a new beginning and every life a blessing from God.

So I want to say thanks to each one of you here. Thank y
Senator Ben
benconstine
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2008, 12:10:40 pm »
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1952 (+5 Stevenson, -5 Eisenhower)

Eisenhower: 288
Stevenson: 243

1956 (+5 Stevenson, -5 Eisenhower)

Eisenhower: 408
Stevenson: 123
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Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2008, 03:33:02 pm »
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1944: Roosevelt/Truman (D) vs. Dewey/Bricker (R): 10% to Dewey



Thomas Dewey/John W. Bricker (R): 400 EV
Franklin D. Roosevelt/Harry Truman (D): 131 EV
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Here's to the State of Richard Nixon

Some things are better left covered up.
Erc
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« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2008, 08:37:46 pm »
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+5% to Wallace, 1968  (done proportionally to his vote in each state, so some of the results for the states he did win are more than a bit messed up):



Nixon: 256
Humphrey: 191
Wallace: 91
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Senator Ben
benconstine
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« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2008, 10:16:56 pm »
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1976 (+5 Carter, -5 Ford):

Carter: 506
Ford: 32

1928: (+5 Smith, -5 Hoover):

Hoover: 319
Smith: 212
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Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
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