Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Alcon]

Tuesday 13 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 51% (-1)
Clinton - 42% (-1)

.....


Obama - 47% (-)
McCain - 46% (+3)

Clinton - 47% (-2)
McCain - 45% (+1)

[Democratic Hawk]

Tuesday 13 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 51% (-1)
Clinton - 42% (-1)

.....


Obama - 47% (-)
McCain - 46% (+3)

Clinton - 47% (-2)
McCain - 45% (+1)

They were yesterday's Rasmussen's numbers

[Democratic Hawk]

Wesdnesday 14 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 44%

.....


Obama - 46%
McCain - 45%

Clinton - 48%
McCain - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama, McCain Highly Competitive for Independent Vote (May 14, 2008)

Latest tracking aggregate shows Obama 44%, McCain 42% among independents

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107272/Obama-McCain-Highly-Competitive-Independent-Vote.aspx

General Election Vote Preference by Political Party Affiliation, Obama vs McCain

Obama: Democrats 76%; Independents 44%; Republicans 12%

McCain: Democrats 15%; Independents 42%; Republicans 84%

General Election Vote Preference by Political Party Affiliation, Obama vs McCain

Clinton: Democrats 84%; Independents 41%; Republicans 8%

McCain: Democrats 10%; Independents 46%; Republicans 88%

Gallup Daily tracking, May 5-11

This supports the hypothesis that Obama, as a general election candidate, has, relative to Clinton, the 'wider net' (i.e. more appeal to Independents and cross-over Republicans) but the 'leakier boat' (i.e. less appeal among Democrats)

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday 15 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 50% (-)
Clinton - 44% (-)

.....


Obama - 45% (-1)
McCain - 45% (-)

Clinton - 48% (-)
McCain - 45% (-)

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 16 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 48% (-2)
Clinton - 44% (-)

.....


McCain - 47% (+2)
Obama - 45% (-)

Clinton - 48% (-)
McCain - 45% (-)

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 17 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 51% (+3)
Clinton - 42% (-2)

.....


McCain - 47% (-)
Obama - 44% (-1)

Clinton - 47% (-1)
McCain - 45% (-)

[Democratic Hawk]

Sunday 18 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 52% (+1)
Clinton - 41% (-1)

.....


McCain - 46% (-1)
Obama - 45% (+1)

Clinton - 47% (-)
McCain - 45% (-)

[Democratic Hawk]

Monday 19 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 55% (+3))
Clinton - 39% (-2)

.....


Obama - 46% (+1)
McCain - 45% (-1)

Clinton - 48% (+1)
McCain - 44% (-1)

Well given that it would seem that Democrats are getting behind Obama in the race for the nomination, his largest lead over Clinton to date,  is there any chance they will get behind him against McCain?

[Democratic Hawk]

Tuesday 20 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 54% (-1)
Clinton - 40% (+1)

.....


Obama - 47% (+1)
McCain - 44% (-1)

Clinton - 48% (-)
McCain - 44% (-)

[J. J.]

Clinton seems to be doing better against McCain than Obama is against McCain.

[Democratic Hawk]

Clinton seems to be doing better against McCain than Obama is against McCain.

In the tracking polls, she tends to be

[Gustaf]

Clinton seems to be doing better against McCain than Obama is against McCain.

In the tracking polls, she tends to be

Correction: in tracking polls, normal national polls and aggregates of state polls, she tends to be ahead.

[Eraserhead]

Clinton seems to be doing better against McCain than Obama is against McCain.

In the tracking polls, she tends to be

Correction: in tracking polls, normal national polls and aggregates of state polls, she tends to be ahead.

Oh... would those be the national polls that show what you like?

[Democratic Hawk]

Clinton seems to be doing better against McCain than Obama is against McCain.

In the tracking polls, she tends to be

Correction: in tracking polls, normal national polls and aggregates of state polls, she tends to be ahead.

The most recent national polls, including tracking, give Obama an aggregate lead of 4.3% against McCain; while Clinton's lead is 2.4%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Key Clinton Constituencies Moving Toward Obama (May 20, 2008)

Obama now competitive among women, whites, and the less educated

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107407/Obama-Surge-Fairly-BroadBased.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama Faces Uphill Climb vs. McCain Among White Voters (21 May, 2008)

Among white women, Obama in tougher position than Clinton would be

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107416/Obama-Faces-Uphill-Climb-vs-McCain-Among-White-Voters.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Wednesday 21 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 53% (-1)
Clinton - 42% (+2)

.....


Obama - 47% (-)
McCain - 44% (-)

Clinton - 48% (-)
McCain - 44% (-)

[Tender Branson]

Thursday - May 22, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 53%
Clinton - 42%

General Election:

Clinton vs. McCain: 49-44
Obama vs. McCain: 47-44

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 23 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 51% (-2)
Clinton - 44% (+2)

.....


Obama - 46% (-1)
McCain - 46% (+2)

Clinton - 49% (-)
McCain - 44% (-)

[Democratic Hawk]

Typical Marriage Gap Evident in Early 2008 Vote (May 23, 2008)

Clinton competitive with McCain for married women’s votes

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107506/Typical-Marriage-Gap-Evident-Early-2008-Vote.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 24 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 52% (+1)
Clinton - 44% (-)

.....

McCain - 46% (+1)
Obama - 45% (-)

Clinton - 49% (-)
McCain - 45% (+1)

[Democratic Hawk]

Sunday 25 May, 2008

.....

Obama - 50% (-2)
Clinton - 45% (+1)

.....

McCain - 47% (+1)
Obama - 45% (-)

Clinton - 49% (-)
McCain - 44% (-1)

Nice to see Obama supporters are lining up behind Clinton, putting party and country first. Just a shame Clinton's aren't lining up behind him so much despite the fact that only he has a fair path to the nomination

[agcatter]

That's because working class whites don't like the guy.  He'll win the nomination but why should that effect whether that group likes him or not.

Hillary was a slam dunk to be the next president.  He won primaries in Jan, Feb, and early March back when he was the messiah.  Boy, those were the days.  Feinting and swooning crowds who cheered even when he sneezed.  No Rev Wright crawling out of the closet, no stories about radical friends, nobody recording his remarks to San Francisco fundraisers.  Those were indeed the days.

Obama might yet be elected, but Hillary was a sure thing.  Obama is a lot more iffy.

[Eraserhead]

That's because working class whites don't like the guy.  He'll win the nomination but why should that effect whether that group likes him or not.

Hillary was a slam dunk to be the next president.  He won primaries in Jan, Feb, and early March back when he was the messiah.  Boy, those were the days.  Feinting and swooning crowds who cheered even when he sneezed.  No Rev Wright crawling out of the closet, no stories about radical friends, nobody recording his remarks to San Francisco fundraisers.  Those were indeed the days.

Obama might yet be elected, but Hillary was a sure thing.  Obama is a lot more iffy.

Hillary was a sure thing? Please.