Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday 27 March, 2008

Obama - 48%
Clinton - 44%

..................

McCain - 45%
Obama - 44%

McCain - 47%
Clinton - 44%

[Tender Branson]

Trend Graphics:

[Eraserhead]

Kewl.

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 28 March, 2008

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 42%

..................

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

McCain - 48%
Clinton - 44%

[ottermax]

Obama reaches the 50% mark!

[kevinatcausa]

That last one feels like an outlier though...

[J. J.]

WWhat part of the sample is chosen on each day?

[Eraserhead]

That last one feels like an outlier though...

How so?

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 29 March, 2008

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 43%

..................

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

McCain - 48%
Clinton - 44%

What part of the sample is chosen on each day?

Survey Methods

Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from March 24-28, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,412 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 26-28, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,220 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105832/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Still-Top-50-43.aspx

Dave

[Person Man]

Barack Obama 48.5%,  257 EVs
John McCain    50.5%. 281 EVs

Swing States

Nevada 51.5-47.5
Colorado 51-48
New Mexico 52-47
Wisconsin 49.9-49.1
Minnesota 52-47
Iowa 50-49
Missouri 43-56
Michigan 49.9-48.9
Pennsylvania 48-51
Ohio 46-53
Florida 45-54
New Hampshire 50-49

[Democratic Hawk]

Barack Obama 48.5%,  257 EVs
John McCain    50.5%. 281 EVs

Swing States

Nevada 51.5-47.5
Colorado 51-48
New Mexico 52-47
Wisconsin 49.9-49.1
Minnesota 52-47
Iowa 50-49
Missouri 43-56
Michigan 49.9-48.9
Pennsylvania 48-51
Ohio 46-53
Florida 45-54
New Hampshire 50-49

That your call if 1) an election were held now and 2) on the basis of Gallup?

Dave

[Person Man]

Barack Obama 48.5%,  257 EVs
John McCain    50.5%. 281 EVs

Swing States

Nevada 51.5-47.5
Colorado 51-48
New Mexico 52-47
Wisconsin 49.9-49.1
Minnesota 52-47
Iowa 50-49
Missouri 43-56
Michigan 49.9-48.9
Pennsylvania 48-51
Ohio 46-53
Florida 45-54
New Hampshire 50-49

That your call if 1) an election were held now and 2) on the basis of Gallup?

Dave

"yes".
...and

Virginia is 48-51.
North Carolina will be 46-53.

[J. J.]

Saturday 29 March, 2008

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 43%

..................

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

McCain - 48%
Clinton - 44%

What part of the sample is chosen on each day?

Survey Methods

Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from March 24-28, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,412 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 26-28, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,220 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105832/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Still-Top-50-43.aspx

Dave

Thank you.  It looks like Gallup takes the last two days results and adds the current days result.

[Tender Branson]

Monday 31 March, 2008

.....

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 43%

.....

McCain - 46%
Obama - 45%

McCain - 47%
Clinton - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Dems, Reps Agree: Obama Tougher Opponent for McCain (Match 31, 2008)

- 59% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents think Obama has a better chance of defeating McCain than Clinton (30%)

- 64% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents think McCain has a better chance of defeating Clinton than Obama (22%)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105904/Dems-Reps-Agree-Obama-Tougher-Opponent-McCain.aspx

Dave

[Aizen]

Dems, Reps Agree: Obama Tougher Opponent for McCain (Match 31, 2008)

- 59% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents think Obama has a better chance of defeating McCain than Clinton (30%)

- 64% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents think McCain has a better chance of defeating Clinton than Obama (22%)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105904/Dems-Reps-Agree-Obama-Tougher-Opponent-McCain.aspx

Dave

Glad we're all in agreement that Obama is the stronger candidate

[Democratic Hawk]

Dems, Reps Agree: Obama Tougher Opponent for McCain (Match 31, 2008)

- 59% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents think Obama has a better chance of defeating McCain than Clinton (30%)

- 64% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents think McCain has a better chance of defeating Clinton than Obama (22%)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105904/Dems-Reps-Agree-Obama-Tougher-Opponent-McCain.aspx

Dave

Glad we're all in agreement that Obama is the stronger candidate

I guess if we see a surge in support for Clinton among Republicans in any remaining open primaries we'll know why (and it won't be because they are, for the most part, Hillicans )

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Tuesday 1 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 45%

.....

McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

McCain - 47%
Clinton - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Clinton Less Appealing Than Obama as Potential VP (April 1, 2008)

Clinton backers favor Obama-Clinton ticket; Obama backers do not ...

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105943/Clinton-Less-Appealing-Than-Obama-Potential-VP.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama, Clinton Leverage Different Groups vs. McCain (April 2, 2008)

Obama has strength among independents, Clinton among core Democrats ...

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105964/Obama-Clinton-Leverage-Different-Groups-vs-McCain.aspx

Dave

[Reaganfan]

I'm actually starting to warm up to an Obama vs. McCain race. Ohio seems extremely anti-Obama here...and I'm confident of victory here and in Florida.

Remember...for two weeks straight....Obama campaigned in Ohio non-stop....played ads every minute on TV and radio...sent flyers in the mail (including mine)....had a good debate performance in Cleveland....and the mainstream media painted it as a major "Clinton vs. Obama" battle with Obama's unstoppable momentum.



There's his great showing of losing by 11pts.

[ChrisFromNJ]

I'm actually starting to warm up to an Obama vs. McCain race. Ohio seems extremely anti-Obama here...and I'm confident of victory here and in Florida.

Remember...for two weeks straight....Obama campaigned in Ohio non-stop....played ads every minute on TV and radio...sent flyers in the mail (including mine)....had a good debate performance in Cleveland....and the mainstream media painted it as a major "Clinton vs. Obama" battle with Obama's unstoppable momentum.



There's his great showing of losing by 11pts.

The Republicans keep telling us that primary success has no connection to how one will perform in the general election . Why the change now?

[Lief 🗽]

And yet Obama is tied with McCain in Ohio. Hm, yep, he's definitely unelectable.

[Eraserhead]

I'm actually starting to warm up to an Obama vs. McCain race. Ohio seems extremely anti-Obama here...and I'm confident of victory here and in Florida.

Remember...for two weeks straight....Obama campaigned in Ohio non-stop....played ads every minute on TV and radio...sent flyers in the mail (including mine)....had a good debate performance in Cleveland....and the mainstream media painted it as a major "Clinton vs. Obama" battle with Obama's unstoppable momentum.



There's his great showing of losing by 11pts.

Why do you keep saying it was 11 points? It was 10 points friend.

[Reaganfan]

I'm actually starting to warm up to an Obama vs. McCain race. Ohio seems extremely anti-Obama here...and I'm confident of victory here and in Florida.

Remember...for two weeks straight....Obama campaigned in Ohio non-stop....played ads every minute on TV and radio...sent flyers in the mail (including mine)....had a good debate performance in Cleveland....and the mainstream media painted it as a major "Clinton vs. Obama" battle with Obama's unstoppable momentum.



There's his great showing of losing by 11pts.

Why do you keep saying it was 11 points? It was 10 points friend.

Clinton: 54.2%
Obama: 43.9%

Essentially 11 pts....but my point remains. Why did everyone expect Ohio to be such a "battleground"?