ME: Rasmussen: Obama edges McCain by 10, Clinton by 5
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  ME: Rasmussen: Obama edges McCain by 10, Clinton by 5		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: ME: Rasmussen: Obama edges McCain by 10, Clinton by 5  (Read 1251 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 04, 2008, 07:49:24 AM »
New Poll: Maine President by Rasmussen on 2008-04-01

Summary: D: 47%, R: 42%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


Obama: 49%
Mccain: 39%

Currently, Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of the state's voters, McCain by 55%, and Clinton by 49%.
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Aizen
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« Reply #1 on: April 04, 2008, 01:48:36 PM »
Maine should be safe for the Dems.
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Boris
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« Reply #2 on: April 04, 2008, 01:50:15 PM »
These polls are really weird and completely inconsistent with Rasmussen's general election numbers.
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agcatter
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« Reply #3 on: April 04, 2008, 01:50:30 PM »
poll sounds about right to me
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Gustaf
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« Reply #4 on: April 04, 2008, 01:51:28 PM »
They're polling Maine. Ok. They're polling Maine.

I give up.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: April 04, 2008, 04:39:24 PM »
Would've been interesting to divide the result by CD, to see if McCain is within striking distance (or even maybe winning CD2 against Clinton).
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #6 on: April 04, 2008, 05:23:20 PM »
Quote from: Gustaf on April 04, 2008, 01:51:28 PM
They're polling Maine. Ok. They're polling Maine.

I give up.

Maine has a Senate primary in early June and Rasmussen has typically been releasing Presidential results a couple days before it does the same for the Senatorial and/or Gubernatorial race.  Perhaps they're using the Presidential poll to help them calibrate their local poll?

Quote from: Lt. Gov. Lief on April 04, 2008, 04:39:24 PM
Would've been interesting to divide the result by CD, to see if McCain is within striking distance (or even maybe winning CD2 against Clinton).

Maine doesn't have as great a difference between its CD's as Nebraska, so there is no chance of McCain leading in CD 2 against Hillary based on these numbers.  Close, but not leading.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2008, 01:09:15 AM »
Quote from: Gustaf on April 04, 2008, 01:51:28 PM
They're polling Maine. Ok. They're polling Maine.

I give up.

It´s probably part of the 50-state polling drive to determine which state is competetive in 2008 and which not. Later on they will focus just on the states that actually look competetive.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2008, 01:23:07 AM »
I don't see anything wrong with them polling Maine. If McCain started to pull away, it could possibly become a battleground.
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© tweed
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« Reply #9 on: April 06, 2008, 06:35:58 PM »
would a result like this hand McCain the more competitive CD against Clinton?  (think it's ME-02, can't quite remember with 100% certainty)
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: April 06, 2008, 06:37:23 PM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on April 06, 2008, 06:35:58 PM
would a result like this hand McCain the more competitive CD against Clinton?  (think it's ME-02, can't quite remember with 100% certainty)

In 2004, ME-2 was about 8 points more Democratic than national average, while ME-1 was about 14.

ME-2 for McCain in Clinton/McCain would be a distinct possibility, although not a certainty.  I'd bet most of McCain's improvement with Clinton (versus Obama) would be in ME-1 though.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2008, 06:40:01 PM »
"Obama edges McCain by 10"

Great use of terminology there.  Tongue
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auburntiger
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« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2008, 12:52:51 AM »
Has Maine ever split its electoral votes?
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Meeker
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« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2008, 12:54:13 AM »
Quote from: auburntiger on April 07, 2008, 12:52:51 AM
Has Maine ever split its electoral votes?

Not under the modern system (they may have way back in the 1800's, I'm not going to look it up). Neither has Nebraska.
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