$100 Pennsylvania Prediction contest
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Author Topic: $100 Pennsylvania Prediction contest  (Read 4883 times)
politicaltipster
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« on: April 05, 2008, 02:33:31 PM »
To encourage some interest in the Pennsylvania Primary, if more interest is needed, I am going to offer $100 to the person who correctly predicts:

Clinton's margin over Obama.

To enter post your prediction at:

http://tiny.cc/I0tp2
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2008, 12:40:12 PM »
Just a reminder that this contest closes at Noon Washington DC time tomorrow.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2008, 01:01:21 PM »
I posted my entry.  'Twill probably look dumb come Tuesdaytide.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: April 20, 2008, 01:06:25 PM »
I guess I'll post here tomorrow, though I really don't want the money.
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2008, 04:52:40 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 20, 2008, 01:06:25 PM
I guess I'll post here tomorrow, though I really don't want the money.

If I win, I will just ship it off to McCain. I haven't maxed out on him yet. Tongue
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Sensei
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2008, 04:53:41 PM »
i bet the last person to comment will be $100 richer.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2008, 06:40:47 PM »
Clinton: 53
Obama: 47



or something like that...plus add maybe like...5 more for Clinton...*shrugs* Tongue
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defe07
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2008, 07:31:37 PM »
I predicted that Clinton would win by 6%.
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specific_name
generic_name
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« Reply #8 on: April 20, 2008, 07:41:40 PM »
9.5%
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #9 on: April 20, 2008, 08:25:19 PM »
No interest in the money but

Hillary by 4%

Hillary      52%
Barack     48%
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2008, 06:41:17 AM »
've extended the deadline to Noon DC time April 22nd. Only submissions posted on the linked site will be counted.

For the record my original prediction was Clinton by 11.2%.
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #11 on: April 22, 2008, 04:58:51 AM »
Only another six hours before the competition closes.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #12 on: April 22, 2008, 06:23:17 AM »
i voted.
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Franzl
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« Reply #13 on: April 22, 2008, 07:29:04 AM »
I said Obama by 1.

Before anybody calls me a hack..I don't believe for a second that I'm right...but people still play the lottery against odds of a million to one...so I might as well try this, hm? Smiley
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #14 on: April 22, 2008, 11:02:45 AM »
The contest is now closed. Good luck to all those who took part.
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Harry
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« Reply #15 on: April 22, 2008, 10:42:41 PM »
looks like I might win with my 9.4%

Can you mail me a check?
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2008, 11:14:16 PM »
Quote from: Childers for Congress on April 22, 2008, 10:42:41 PM
looks like I might win with my 9.4%

Can you mail me a check?

Current margin = 9.80%
My guess = 9.8%

Freeze the election now!

Actually, I think "Generic" probably has this...you're kind of wedged between Johnnylongtorso and he, but all four of us are still in this.
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specific_name
generic_name
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« Reply #17 on: April 23, 2008, 01:41:05 AM »
Quote from: Alcon on April 22, 2008, 11:14:16 PM
Quote from: Childers for Congress on April 22, 2008, 10:42:41 PM
looks like I might win with my 9.4%

Can you mail me a check?

Current margin = 9.80%
My guess = 9.8%

Freeze the election now!

Actually, I think "Generic" probably has this...you're kind of wedged between Johnnylongtorso and he, but all four of us are still in this.

I just looked at the results so far. I'm thinking I may have it, a matter of digits at this point.
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2008, 04:37:45 AM »
Given that it is so close, and the PA SoS and CNN figures don't match, I'm going to wait until tonight to declare an official winner. At the moment CNN is giving 9.39, which would give it to Harry.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #19 on: April 23, 2008, 11:06:36 AM »
Quote from: politicaltipster on April 23, 2008, 04:37:45 AM
Given that it is so close, and the PA SoS and CNN figures don't match, I'm going to wait until tonight to declare an official winner. At the moment CNN is giving 9.39, which would give it to Harry.
Cool.  I am Harry for the record.
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Torie
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« Reply #20 on: April 23, 2008, 04:21:44 PM »
Quote from: politicaltipster on April 23, 2008, 04:37:45 AM
Given that it is so close, and the PA SoS and CNN figures don't match, I'm going to wait until tonight to declare an official winner. At the moment CNN is giving 9.39, which would give it to Harry.

Hey, when those 40 missing precincts from Philly finally come in, I'm going to win. Tongue Where are they? There are some missing from Delaware County as well.
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Alcon
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« Reply #21 on: April 23, 2008, 05:25:42 PM »
I think, to be fair, you should wait until the results are certified.
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Torie
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« Reply #22 on: April 23, 2008, 05:32:59 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on April 23, 2008, 05:25:42 PM
I think, to be fair, you should wait until the results are certified.

Actually, there are only 11 precincts out now (all in Philly), and the margin is 9.31%. It needs to get down to 9.2% for me to be in the money. Things are not looking good. Presumably other votes will come in over time with provisional votes and the like (and the military).
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specific_name
generic_name
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« Reply #23 on: April 24, 2008, 03:11:40 AM »
Are you waiting for official results, once everything comes in?
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #24 on: April 24, 2008, 07:38:03 AM »
As the person running the contest I'm going to make a formal deicision later today because this could drag on indefinitely. At the moment it is 9.31% which would make JL the victor. As stated in the contest I am going to send the amount through PayPal.

Anyway, thanks for taking part. Unfortunately it didn't generate enough hits on my website to make it an economic method of advertising.
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