TN: Rasmussen: McCain far ahead ahead of Clinton, Obama

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Tennessee President by Rasmussen on 2008-04-03

Summary: D: 38%, R: 52%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

McCain: 58%
Obama: 31%

McCain: 65% favorable, 32% unfavorable
Clinton: 45% favorable, 54% unfavorable
Obama: 39% favorable, 59% unfavorable

[exopolitician]

Damn....TN loves them some McCain. O_o

[Tender Branson]

Damn....TN loves them some McCain. O_o

BTW: Isn´t it "Black Holes & Revelations" in your signature ?

[exopolitician]

Damn....TN loves them some McCain. O_o

BTW: Isn´t it "Black Holes & Revelations" in your signature ?

lol yes....but I changed it since i like Muse and MCR pretty much equally. The Black Parade is their most recent album and I really like it.

[agcatter]

Counties from northeast Texas through eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tenessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, and northwestern Virginia are gonna be butt ugly for Obama.  He's going to make Kerry's numbers in that region look sterling next to his.

The good news is that he wasn't going to carry any of those states anyway so it won't matter.  It's still winner take all state elector system so whether he loses Tennessee by Kerry's 16 or 27 makes no difference. 

Can't wait for Rasmussen's Alabama numbers today.  What's next?  Breaking numbers out of Illinois or Vermont?

[Gustaf]

Wow. That's actually worse than I expected from Obama (and Clinton, for that matter). And this is while Rasmussen is no longer giving McCain big margins nationwide. Only one poll of course.

[memphis]

Sounds about right except that the numbers don't come anywhere close to 100%. Obama will easily break 60% in Shelby County and will probably get in the high 50s in Davidson. He'll win the remaining few blindly loyal TVA dem counties that Kerry won. East Tennesee (and Appalachia in general) will get very ugly.

[Gustaf]

Sounds about right except that the numbers don't come anywhere close to 100%.

What do you mean? Are you forgetting the undecideds or what?

[agcatter]

Actually, Hillary has consistently run right on track with Kerry's southern and border state numbers through the beginning of the year.  Apparently, Michael Barone had it right that reliable white rural Democrats in those area just aren;t gonna vote for Obama.  The state numbers will be ugly.  However, like I said, with the possible exception of Hillary in Mo and Arkansas, border and southern states were gone anyway.

[Sam Spade]

Actually, Hillary has consistently run right on track with Kerry's southern and border state numbers through the beginning of the year.  Apparently, Michael Barone had it right that reliable white rural Democrats in those area just aren;t gonna vote for Obama.  The state numbers will be ugly.  However, like I said, with the possible exception of Hillary in Mo and Arkansas, border and southern states were gone anyway.

You should change that to "run ahead of Kerry's southern and border state numbers".  And she still does here, in comparison to national numbers, but nowhere near as good as she did earlier.  I frankly suspect this is a media thing and she's underpolling nationally right now, but who knows.

And yes, Obama will perform badly in the upper South.  I'm not surprised.

Also, I don't see these Rasmussen polls being that far off compared to his national numbers, if he has McCain +5 on Obama and +4 on Clinton.  I would have to do the exact math to know for sure, but I don't care that much and we don't have enough data points (really just an educated guess).  Besides, who really cares.  It's early.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

John Kerry shouldn't be the benchmark in such areas.

[agcatter]

Agree, but he's the only benchmark we have to compare anything with.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

McCain will come close to 60% in Tennessee. The South, sans the Carolinas and Virginia, will be very, very ugly.

[Reaganfan]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect? LOL What was that dream based on?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect? LOL What was that dream based on?

What happened to your taking a break, Mike?

[Reaganfan]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect? LOL What was that dream based on?

What happened to your taking a break, Mike?

I want to...but I just don't have as much a reason to....besides....I'm a vital part of the conservatism on this forum.

[Joe Republic]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect?

Actually, no.  Could you indulge us with an example?

[Reaganfan]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect?

Actually, no.  Could you indulge us with an example?

Oh please Joe...I remember seeing maps with West Virginia, Virginia, Missouri, North Carolina, ect...all falling to Obama. They thought this guy was gonna cut across party lines or something.

[Joe Republic]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect?

Actually, no.  Could you indulge us with an example?

Oh please Joe...I remember seeing maps with West Virginia, Virginia, Missouri, North Carolina, ect...all falling to Obama. They thought this guy was gonna cut across party lines or something.

I'm not trying to call you out here; for all I know you may well be right.  But since I don't know, and you're making an assertion, all I'm asking is for you to back it up.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Remember when Obama supporters thought he would win West Virginia and Kentucky, ect?

Actually, no.  Could you indulge us with an example?

Oh please Joe...I remember seeing maps with West Virginia, Virginia, Missouri, North Carolina, ect...all falling to Obama. They thought this guy was gonna cut across party lines or something.

I made a map like that, but it was for Clinton.  I never gave Obama a shot in KY.

[Reaganfan]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69265.0

Here's a topic from February with a few unrealistic Obama maps...winning Virginia, West Virginia and Florida. I know there were others more absurd.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69265.0

Here's a topic from February with a few unrealistic Obama maps...winning Virginia, West Virginia and Florida. I know there were others more absurd.

The Democratic maps aren't nearly as bad as the GOP ones.

[Alcon]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69265.0

Here's a topic from February with a few unrealistic Obama maps...winning Virginia, West Virginia and Florida. I know there were others more absurd.

You mean...AHDuke's "this is impossible" map?  AHDuke is the only one who gave Obama West Virginia.  Obama was polling ahead in Virginia at the time.  Giving Obama Florida is perhaps not very realistic, but at the time, wasn't really insane hackery.

And, uh, I see no red Kentuckys.

[Joe Republic]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69265.0

Here's a topic from February with a few unrealistic Obama maps...winning Virginia, West Virginia and Florida. I know there were others more absurd.

You mean...AHDuke's "this is impossible" map?  AHDuke is the only one who gave Obama West Virginia.  Obama was polling ahead in Virginia at the time.  Giving Obama Florida is perhaps not very realistic, but at the time, wasn't really insane hackery.

And, uh, I see no red Kentuckys.

... or Tennessees.

[bgwah]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69265.0

Here's a topic from February with a few unrealistic Obama maps...winning Virginia, West Virginia and Florida. I know there were others more absurd.

You mean...AHDuke's "this is impossible" map?  AHDuke is the only one who gave Obama West Virginia.  Obama was polling ahead in Virginia at the time.  Giving Obama Florida is perhaps not very realistic, but at the time, wasn't really insane hackery.

And, uh, I see no red Kentuckys.

^Hahahahahaha. Does Naso set himself up on purpose? I really do think he has to be a joke poster.

I don't see a single Obama supporter putting KY or WV as Obama in that thread.