ME: Rasmussen: Collins (R) leads Allen (D) by 16%

[Adlai Stevenson]

MAINE SENATE -
54% (R) Collins
38% (D) Allen
  3% 'Some other candidate'
  4% 'Not sure'


APPROVALS -
Collins: 72%-27%

Allen: 39%-34%


NOTES -
Collins gets the support of 27% of Democrats in this survey, to Allen's 66%.  Male voters support Collins more strongly than women do - 56% of men plan to vote for Collins, while 36% support Allen - 53% of females support Collins to 40% for Allen.  Voters aged 18-29 and 65 or older are most favourable to Allen - the former give Collins a 49%-45% edge, with the latter preferring her 57%-42%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/maine/toplines_maine_senate_election_april_1_2008

[Meeker]

Wasn't Allen losing by 20-30 in the last poll?

[Tender Branson]

Allen's favorables are 59-34, not 39-34 ...

With Allen at 39% approval and Collins at 72%, she would kill him 2:1 ...

[Hash]

[Aizen]

Allen continues to whittle away at the margin. This is the closest he has been yet. Susan Collins is finished.

[JSojourner]

I would love to see Allen take this seat.  Collins used to be an independent-thinking Republican but she's really disappointed me over the last few years.  Snowe and Allen will make a good team.

[Padfoot]

Allen continues to whittle away at the margin. This is the closest he has been yet. Susan Collins is finished.

you're kidding right?  Collins is a popular incumbent and this race is a toss-up at best for the Democrats.  Maybe if Obama spends his entire campaign in Maine Allen would be a shoe-in, but otherwise this is still an uphill battle for him.  Besides, don't you think its a little earlier to be declaring an incumbent Senator "finished?"

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Allen continues to whittle away at the margin. This is the closest he has been yet. Susan Collins is finished.

Clearly, this is a reasonable extrapolation of the polling data.

[Aizen]

Allen continues to whittle away at the margin. This is the closest he has been yet. Susan Collins is finished.

you're kidding right? 

yes

[Adlai Stevenson]

He definitely has narrowed the gap though.  I do think it is possible for him to pull off an upset, although obviously he needs to get Collins below her 50% threshold first.  Admittedly, this will be an uphill task considering how popular she is. 

[HardRCafé]

Any incumbent below the 73% threshold is in deadly danger!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

OMG ITS TOO CLOSE TO CALL!!!!!!!!111

[Eraserhead]

Allen continues to whittle away at the margin. This is the closest he has been yet. Susan Collins is finished.

LOL!

[Democratic Hawk]

Collins seems to be a decent enough moderate Republican