States' most partisan results compared to the national average
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  States' most partisan results compared to the national average
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Author Topic: States' most partisan results compared to the national average  (Read 9441 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #25 on: January 16, 2013, 08:42:33 AM »

LOL Bushie.
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nclib
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« Reply #26 on: February 22, 2013, 06:06:20 PM »

So the new spreads are:

1960 AL,ID,LA,MS,UT            IA,ME,MN,OH,OR,VT,WI
1964 AK,ME,MI,MO,NH,OH,RI,TX,WY     AL,AZ,GA,LA,MS,SC,VA
1968                                            NM
1972 MA,MT,ND,OR,SD,WI     FL,HI,MD,NC
1976 AR,FL,GA,NC,OK,SC,TN     CT,IL,MI,NY,PA,RI,WA
1980 KY,WV                             CA,CO,MA,NV,ND
1984 MN,PA                             NH
1988 IA,KS,NE                         DE,NJ
1992
1996 AZ                                   KS
2000 CT,NJ,NY                       AK,ID,MT,SD,TX
2004                                          IN,NE
2008 CO,DE,IL,IN,NV,NM      OK
2012 CA,HI,MD,VT,VA,WA    AR,KY,MO,TN,UT,WV,WY
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nclib
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« Reply #27 on: January 20, 2017, 07:41:32 PM »

The following states set their extremes in 2016:

Dem: WA, CA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
Rep: WY, ND, SD, MN, MO, AR, TN, KY, WV, IN, OH, PA
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #28 on: January 20, 2017, 09:15:39 PM »

The following states set their extremes in 2016:

Dem: WA, CA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
Rep: WY, ND, SD, MN, MO, AR, TN, KY, WV, IN, OH, PA

PA was more right of center in 1948.
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nclib
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« Reply #29 on: January 20, 2017, 10:07:53 PM »

The following states set their extremes in 2016:

Dem: WA, CA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
Rep: WY, ND, SD, MN, MO, AR, TN, KY, WV, IN, OH, PA

PA was more right of center in 1948.

I made a table of every state's margins compared to the national average for the years 1960-2004.
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nclib
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« Reply #30 on: January 27, 2017, 05:26:51 PM »

So the new spreads are:

1960 AL,ID,LA,MS,UT            IA,ME,OR,VT,WI
1964 AK,ME,MI,MO,NH,OH,RI,TX,WY     AL,AZ,GA,LA,MS,SC,VA
1968                                            NM
1972 MA,MT,ND,OR,SD,WI     FL,HI,MD,NC
1976 AR,FL,GA,NC,OK,SC,TN     CT,IL,MI,NY,RI,WA
1980 KY,WV                             CA,CO,MA,NV
1984 MN,PA                             NH
1988 IA,KS,NE                         DE,NJ
1992
1996                                      KS
2000 CT,NJ,NY                       AK,ID,MT,TX
2004                                          NE
2008 DE,IL,IN,NV,NM            OK
2012 HI,VT                            UT
2016 AZ,CA,CO,MD,VA,WA      AR,IN,KY,MN,MO,ND,OH,PA,SD,TN,WV,WY
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nclib
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« Reply #31 on: January 27, 2017, 05:44:12 PM »

                 D              R
Alabama         1960      1964
Alaska         1964      2000
Arizona         2016      1964
Arkansas         1976      2016
California         2016      1980
Colorado         2016      1980
Connecticut      2000      1976
Delaware         2008      1988
Florida         1976      1972
Georgia         1976      1964
Hawaii         2012      1972
Idaho         1960      2000
Illinois         2008   1976
Indiana         2008      2016
Iowa         1988      1960
Kansas         1988      1996
Kentucky         1980      2016
Louisiana         1960      1964
Maine         1964      1960
Maryland         2016      1972
Massachusetts      1972      1980
Michigan         1964      1976
Minnesota      1984      2016
Mississippi      1960      1964
Missouri         1964      2016
Montana         1972      2000
Nebraska         1988      2004
Nevada         2008      1980
New Hampshire      1964      1984
New Jersey      2000      1988
New Mexico      2008      1968
New York         2000      1976
North Carolina      1976      1972
North Dakota      1972      2016
Ohio         1964      2016
Oklahoma         1976      2008
Oregon         1972      1960
Pennsylvania      1984      2016
Rhode Island      1964      1976
South Carolina      1976      1964
South Dakota      1972      2016
Tennessee      1976      2016
Texas         1964      2000
Utah         1960      2012
Vermont         2012      1960
Virginia         2016      1964
Washington      2016      1976
West Virginia      1980      2016
Wisconsin         1972      1960
Wyoming         1964      2016
Washington, DC      1984     1964

Indiana stands out as having had its most Republican year in 2004 followed immediately by its most Democratic year in 2008.

Three states flipped 1960-64: Louisiana (D-R), Mississippi (D-R) and Ohio (R-D). Two states flipped 1972-76: North Carolina (R-D) and Florida (R-D). There were no other instances of back-to-back strongest performances for each party.

Interestingly, while 1960 and 1964, as well as 1972 and 1976, demonstrated radical regional shifts due to different factions rising and falling within the Democratic Party, 2004 and 2008 demonstrated no such radical regional shifts. Indiana was just weird. (Then again, the change in Ohio from 1960 to 1964 cannot be explained by regional shifts in those years, either.)

After all that, Indiana now had its most relative Repub year, yes it is Pence's home state and Trump is a good fit for the state, but still.
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nclib
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« Reply #32 on: January 30, 2021, 06:45:13 PM »

The only states to set a record in 2020 for most relatively D/R are:

D: WA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
R: AR, OH, PA

Far fewer than 2016.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #33 on: January 30, 2021, 10:33:07 PM »

The only states to set a record in 2020 for most relatively D/R are:

D: WA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
R: AR, OH, PA

Far fewer than 2016.

A lot of dead cat bounces in states that set records in 2016.

A little surprised about Pennsylvania and Ohio being on the Republican list.
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Chips
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« Reply #34 on: January 30, 2021, 11:05:33 PM »

The only states to set a record in 2020 for most relatively D/R are:

D: WA, AZ, CO, VA, MD
R: AR, OH, PA

Far fewer than 2016.

Wow.
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nclib
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« Reply #35 on: January 30, 2021, 11:14:42 PM »

1960-2012 stay the same, and 2016 and 2020 are now:

        D                                R
2016 CA                          IN, KY, MN, MO, ND, SD, TN, WV, WY
2020 WA, AZ, CO, VA, MD    AR, OH, PA
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