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Author Topic: possible?  (Read 8632 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: July 22, 2004, 07:19:09 PM »
how realistic is this?

important note:  this is NOT my prediction, just an interesting scenario i thought up.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2004, 07:19:59 PM »
I doubt that is possible
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2004, 07:21:01 PM »
look at the polls!!
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2004, 07:25:04 PM »

Yes but almost all polls have Kerry doing better in WI and MN than AR and MO.  Same with PA and WV.
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King
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2004, 07:36:30 PM »
Time for a real impossible map:



Kerry/Edwards: 269 EVs
Bush/Cheney: 269 EVs
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2004, 07:54:56 PM »
That's the terrorist attack theory?
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Floridude
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2004, 09:57:06 PM »
The first poll is kind of off weird but possible in theory.  The second poll is very unlinkely but interesting to ponder.  Here is how this would have to happen

1. Blue Collar workers respound incredibly enthusiasticly to John Edwards

2.  Hawaii's republcan governor is able to influence the island which may or may not be a bit isolated from the US.

3.  Arnold comes up huge in California for Bush

The three problems i see with this scenario are California, (+12 dem ) Kentucky (+15 rep) and Hawaii(+18 dem)
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nini2287
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2004, 10:32:05 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2004, 10:33:53 PM by nini2287 »
How about this scenario:

Kerry spends so much time campaigning in PA, OH and FL that they go over to his side but his neglect of other swing and lean states throw them all to Bush:



Bush/Cheney-301
Kerry/Edwrds-237
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StatesRights
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2004, 02:24:44 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2004, 02:25:25 AM by Senator StatesRights »
Quote from: King on July 22, 2004, 07:36:30 PM
Time for a real impossible map:



Kerry/Edwards: 269 EVs
Bush/Cheney: 269 EVs

Mark my words today. That map will happen. Trust me if you want to know email me. Some of the eastern states may be off but I don't know. I know however that the west will all go Bush.
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qwerty
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2004, 03:16:17 AM »
Since we are at it... is it possible for every elector to abstain their vote?
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MODU
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2004, 06:57:47 AM »

Fortunately/Unfortunately no.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2004, 06:59:00 AM »
Quote from: Richard M. Nixon on July 23, 2004, 03:16:17 AM
Since we are at it... is it possible for every elector to abstain their vote?


"Nothing is impossible."
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TommyC1776
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2004, 09:32:20 AM »
Here's a different one.
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TommyC1776
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2004, 09:38:41 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2004, 09:39:11 AM by KucinichforPrez »
or what about this one?  i don't know if it would be right but it could.
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TommyC1776
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2004, 09:41:39 AM »
Quote from: Senator StatesRights on July 23, 2004, 02:24:44 AM
Quote from: King on July 22, 2004, 07:36:30 PM
Time for a real impossible map:



Kerry/Edwards: 269 EVs
Bush/Cheney: 269 EVs

Mark my words today. That map will happen. Trust me if you want to know email me. Some of the eastern states may be off but I don't know. I know however that the west will all go Bush.

even California?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2004, 01:20:23 PM »
He thnks there will be an attack on election day, wiping out San Francisco, Honolulu, Seattle, etc.
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classical liberal
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2004, 01:53:10 PM »


Kerry wins.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2004, 03:02:31 PM »
Bush will win Michigan? while losing Fl, OH, PA & OR.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2004, 08:52:58 PM »
Quote from: Senator King on July 22, 2004, 07:36:30 PM
Time for a real impossible map:



Kerry/Edwards: 269 EVs
Bush/Cheney: 269 EVs

RFK vs. Nixon, 1968.

Only RFK would have won the EV handily as it was apportioned in those days.
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No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2004, 01:02:24 AM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on July 22, 2004, 07:19:09 PM
how realistic is this?

important note:  this is NOT my prediction, just an interesting scenario i thought up.



Possible, I see MO, AR, & FL going to Bush.  MN & PA & maybe NH will go Kerry.
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Alcon
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« Reply #20 on: October 16, 2004, 01:08:15 AM »
Quote from: nini2287 on July 22, 2004, 10:32:05 PM
How about this scenario:

Kerry spends so much time campaigning in PA, OH and FL that they go over to his side but his neglect of other swing and lean states throw them all to Bush:



Bush/Cheney-301
Kerry/Edwrds-237

Possible, but ultra-unlikely. I also think you confused the CD's of Maine.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2004, 03:46:03 PM »
Michigan and Washington will not go Bush while other states go Kerry...same goes for Missouri and Arkansas the other way around.

All the others could theoretically be combined any way, though it isn't likely.
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J. J.
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2004, 07:32:49 PM »
waltermiddy's map look like a possible scenario in 1992, but its outside even then.
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Platypus
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« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2004, 02:12:49 AM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on July 22, 2004, 07:19:09 PM
how realistic is this?

important note: this is NOT my prediction, just an interesting scenario i thought up.



Switch Minnesota and I'd be very very happy with that map Smiley
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