PA PrimD: Rasmussen: Clinton Leads PA by 9%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Rasmussen on 2008-04-14

Summary:

Clinton:	50%
Obama:	41%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton  50%

Barack Obama  41%

Not Sure  9%

[agcatter]

I think Survey USA has her up 14 today.

She'll win by 9 or 10.

[Alcon]

Clinton 50% (+2)
Obama 41% (-2)

Last poll was 4/6.

[agcatter]

Fast Eddie Rendell said yesterday Hillary will win by up to 8 points.  I don't know if he's got access to Hillary's internal polls, is sandbagging it , or if that's just his best guess.

[J. J.]

Clinton is probably opening up the gap.  The 'bots have had a reasonably track record and the last two polls were holding at +5. 

This one was also largely post "bitter."  We'll know by Friday.

I also suspect Fast Eddie of low balling this.

[Alcon]

Clinton is probably opening up the gap.  The 'bots have had a reasonably track record and the last two polls were holding at +5. 

This one was also largely post "bitter."  We'll know by Friday.

I also suspect Fast Eddie of low balling this.

Eh?  It was entirely post-"bitter."  The poll was conducted yesterday.

[J. J.]

Clinton is probably opening up the gap.  The 'bots have had a reasonably track record and the last two polls were holding at +5. 

This one was also largely post "bitter."  We'll know by Friday.

I also suspect Fast Eddie of low balling this.

Eh?  It was entirely post-"bitter."  The poll was conducted yesterday.

There are still going to be people, probably a fair number, that hadn't heard it yet.  It takes a while for it to just to get it disseminated, especially since the local coverage didn't start until Saturday.  It will take even longer to sink in.

You won't see the full effect until the end of the week.

[Eraserhead]

...and this could just be noise of course.

[agcatter]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway. 

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

And is anyone going to remember it then? Doubtful. John McCain's inevitable next moment of senility will be a bigger factor.

[agcatter]

According to Rasmussen, by 51-27 % nationwide independents disagreed with Obama's statement.

I can assure you that the McCain campaign will make sure that it's not forgotten.  Obama isn't the only one who gets to frame an issue in the general.

[J. J.]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

Independents cannot vote in the PA primary.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

This one is not going away.

[Alcon]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

Independents cannot vote in the PA primary.

Read the post he was quoting.

[J. J.]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

Independents cannot vote in the PA primary.

Read the post he was quoting.

I did.  The PA independents will not be in the mix, at this point.

[WalterMitty]

this poll looks spot-on.

im predicting a clinton win of 8-10 points.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

Now does bolding it finally get the point through your thick f**king skull?

[Keystone Phil]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

Now does bolding it finally get the point through your thick f**king skull?

Wow. You find it irritating to get a point across to a specific poster after repeated attempts? I know a few members of the forum that tried doing that with this one poster for quite some time now...it's really funny actually...

[J. J.]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

Now does bolding it finally get the point through your thick f**king skull?

I'm saying it is completely irrelevant to the current PA discussion, plus because of the party system here, there are relative few independents (probably under 15%), so it would not be a particularly big factor in the Fall.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If you think it's completely irrelevant to the current discussion then you should be talking to agcatter, not me since he's the one who brought up the topic.

[Stranger in a strange land]

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

Independents cannot vote in the PA primary.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

This one is not going away.

I don't think this will be much worse in the long run than the Farrakhan endorsement. The Wright debacle was a much bigger deal for the media than it was for the public. What Obama said was basically true, and while there's audio of him saying it, it's of such terrible quality that it can't be used in an attack ad.

[J. J.]

If you think it's completely irrelevant to the current discussion then you should be talking to agcatter, not me since he's the one who brought up the topic.

Zack the Barack Hack, here is my original quote:

Barak

The gaffe will hurt in the GE among Indies not in the Democratic Primaries (exception Kentucky and West Virginia) where Dems are mostly liberal and buy into the clinging to religion and guns anyway.

According to SUSA, 57% of PA Independents didn't find it offensive.

Independents cannot vote in the PA primary.

You will note that I quoted both posts.