PA PrimD: ARG: Clinton Leads PA by 13%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by ARG on 2008-04-19

Summary:

Clinton:	54%
Obama:	41%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Likely Democratic Primary Voters Mar

7-8 Mar

26-27 Apr

5-6 Apr

11-13 Apr

17-19

 

Clinton 52% 51% 45% 57% 54%

Obama 41% 39% 45% 37% 41%

Someone else 1% 2% 4% 2% 1%

Undecided 6% 8% 6% 4% 4%

[Joe Republic]

Perhaps they should ask for another go; the dice must have fallen on an uneven surface this time.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Great news. If they showed her up by single digits I would be getting worried.

[Alcon]

Last poll 4/13

Clinton 54% (-3)
Obama 41% (+4)

Excluding ARG polls, the average at the time the last poll was taken was about Clinton +6.  It's now Clinton +3-4.  So, yeah, ARG lays another one.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Last poll 4/13

Clinton 54% (-3)
Obama 41% (+4)

Excluding ARG polls, the average at the time the last poll was taken was about Clinton +6.  It's now Clinton +3-4.  So, yeah, ARG lays another one.

[ChrisFromNJ]

I am really looking forward to SurveyUSA's last poll in PA. They have been on the mark for the most part, and I have no reason to doubt them.

I guess we'll have to see SUSA's poll before we can establish credence to this ARG poll.

[they don't love you like i love you]

I guess we'll have to see SUSA's poll before we can establish credence to this ARG poll.

I'm interested in SUSA's too, but I already know the credence of this: It's trash, like all of ARG's polls. Hence the running joke on the forum that the result is always the exact opposite of whatever ARG says (which is actually more accurate than taking ARG's polls at face value.)

ARG's polls are either complete trash or simply a case of them copying decent polls.

[Lief 🗽]

Um... didn't ARG nail one of Ohio or Texas with their last poll?

Normally this would be great news, but I'm still worried.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

So far, SUSA's polls in PA have had Clinton farther above what most other polls have her at, so if that trend continues, it wouldn't be too far off ARG's.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Um... didn't ARG nail one of Ohio or Texas with their last poll?

Normally this would be great news, but I'm still worried.

I really doubt ARG magically improved greatly as a poster in that amount of time (remember their Wisconsin numbers? LOL.) They were simply ripping off the numbers of real pollsters. So if no one other than ARG is saying this, we can assume it this is just ARG's typical crap.

[agcatter]

For comparison purposes ARG's final March 4th primary polls showed:

Clinton +3  (Clinton final margin +4) in Texas.

Clinton +14 (Clinton final margin +10) in Ohio.

Not sure what that means for Pennsylvania if anything but those were their numbers.